---
title: "Avatar case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Avatar ($0.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Avatar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Avatar

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=all)

Price · $0.00

Advertised RTP · —

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/avatar?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 9,842 | $3.46 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 9,834 | $3.40 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,511 | $2.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Die-cast AK charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-die-cast-ak) | 1 in 9,472 | $2.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 8,884 | $1.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 7,245 | $1.20 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 6,879 | $1.13 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 1 in 6,348 | $1.05 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,983 | $0.87 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 5,046 | $0.87 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,054 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) | 1 in 2,448 | $0.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 1,728 | $0.51 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) | 1 in 1,006 | $0.41 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 993 | $0.41 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 1 in 744 | $0.37 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 700 | $0.36 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-well-worn) | 1 in 291 | $0.26 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 271 | $0.25 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 258 | $0.25 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) | 1 in 217 | $0.23 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) | 1 in 100 | $0.17 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $0.11 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) | 1 in 34 | $0.10 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.08 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) | 1 in 23 | $0.07 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.07 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.07 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.06 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.06 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.06 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.05 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.05 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.05 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Snake Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Gator Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Hieroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-hieroglyph-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Nemiga \| 2020 RMR sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nemiga-2020-rmr) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.03 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=avatar)

[Sticker | Nemiga | 2020 RMR sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nemiga-2020-rmr) [WesT\_dp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/WesT_dp) $0 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) [Джо??](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%94%D0%B6%D0%BE%3F%3F) $0 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:46 UTC

[Sticker | Nemiga | 2020 RMR sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nemiga-2020-rmr) [Джо??](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%94%D0%B6%D0%BE%3F%3F) $0 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Xray](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xray) $0 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [tiktaki2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/tiktaki2) $0 $0.36 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) [tiktaki2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/tiktaki2) $0 $0.06 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) [JM-Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JM-Skins) $0 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [JM-Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JM-Skins) $0 $0.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[Sticker | Nemiga | 2020 RMR sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nemiga-2020-rmr) [JM-Skins](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JM-Skins) $0 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-field-tested) [Goldy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Goldy) $0 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0 | — | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0 | — | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0 | — | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0 | — | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0 | — | 39 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0 | — | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0 | — | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0 | — | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0 | — | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 5.6% 7 5.9% Legendary 0.0% classified 0.0% Mythical 0.1% #8847ff 0.3% Rare 7.3% violet 0.0% restricted 0.1% #4b69ff 4.1% uncommon 0.0% mil spec 0.8% milspec 31.3% blue 4.2% industrial 16.7% consumer 17.7% #87c7ff 5.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt