---
title: "Барбекю case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Барбекю ($0.36) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.33% from 28 items with odds, observed 83.61% over 32 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Барбекю](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Барбекю

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=all)

Price · $0.36

Advertised RTP · 76.33% · EV $0.27 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.61% · 32 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

56.0% 83.5% 111.0%

**Small sample.** 32 openings and 9.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq) | 32 | 83.61% ±26.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bbq?window=all) | 32 | 83.61% ±26.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 9,648 | $11.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,541 | $10.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 1 in 8,823 | $7.39 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,257 | $6.34 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 6,957 | $4.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 6,797 | $4.85 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 3,656 | $3.13 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 3,544 | $3.08 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 831 | $1.67 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 1 in 700 | $1.57 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $1.54 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 307 | $1.16 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $1.13 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 266 | $1.10 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $0.98 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.96 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $0.73 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) | 1 in 29 | $0.47 | 5.8% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.84× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.42 | 6.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.35 | 7.6% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.35 | 7.6% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.32 | 8.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.25 | 8.9% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) | 10.4% | $0.24 | 8.9% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $0.23 | 8.9% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) | 12.0% | $0.20 | 8.6% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| [P250 \| Red Tide (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-field-tested) | 13.5% | $0.14 | 6.7% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-well-worn) | 13.5% | $0.13 | 6.3% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 3 Nov, 02:07 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bbq)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:07 UTC | $0.36 | 76.33% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | $0.36 | 76.36% | 28 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $0.36 | 76.35% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.1% pink 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% restricted 0.1% #d32ee6 0.0% uncommon 3.5% Rare 20.5% #8847ff 0.3% Mythical 1.3% violet 23.5% mil spec 11.5% #4b69ff 12.0% blue 13.5% milspec 13.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.33 on average: an expected loss of $23.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
