---
title: "Big boots case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Big boots ($119.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 69.01% from 34 items with odds, observed 71.28% over 201 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Big boots](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Big boots

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=all)

Price · $119.00

Advertised RTP · 69.01% · EV $82.12 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.28% · 201 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 71.50% ±9.74 181 openings

30 days · 71.28% ±9.26 201 openings

since tracking started · 71.28% ±9.26 201 openings

40.0% 64.3% 88.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=24h) | 28 | 64.39% ±23.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=7d) | 181 | 71.50% ±9.74 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots) | 201 | 71.28% ±9.26 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bigboots?window=all) | 201 | 71.28% ±9.26 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 201 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 9,651 | $3,271 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,540 | $2,970 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,624 | $1,993 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,403 | $1,138 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 4,801 | $1,050 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 3,419 | $865 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 2,287 | $716 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,941 | $667 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,222 | $553 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,218 | $553 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 1,108 | $533 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 888 | $489 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 834 | $478 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 608 | $424 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 321 | $335 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $205 | 2.8% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $197 | 3.0% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $162 | 3.9% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $156 | 4.0% | 7 | 4.2 | 1.66× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $127 | 5.0% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $122 | 5.1% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.72× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $120 | 5.2% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $111 | 5.5% | 7 | 8.2 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $97.36 | 5.9% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $92.49 | 6.0% | 11 | 10.7 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $91.11 | 6.0% | 15 | 10.9 | 1.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $71.95 | 6.1% | 14 | 13.9 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $70.56 | 6.1% | 13 | 14.2 | 0.92× |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $62.61 | 5.8% | 25 | 15.3 | 1.63× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $53.49 | 5.3% | 15 | 16.3 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $44.84 | 4.5% | 16 | 16.6 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $43.24 | 4.3% | 22 | 16.5 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $40.63 | 4.0% | 10 | 16.4 | 0.61× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $37.55 | 3.7% | 0 | 16.1 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [ytb: Lukasscz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ytb%3A%20Lukasscz) $119 $537 4.51x 2026-11-05 05:36 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bigboots)

[USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) [123123123](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/123123123) $119 $44.84 0.38x 2026-11-11 10:35 UTC

[P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) [SEvER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SEvER) $119 $71.50 0.60x 2026-11-11 07:09 UTC

[SG 553 | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) [240 km/h peek хасбулла](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/240%20km%2Fh%20peek%20%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%B1%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B0) $119 $62.45 0.52x 2026-11-11 06:47 UTC

[USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) [Alex Mercer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Alex%20Mercer) $119 $44.72 0.38x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $119 $119 1.00x 2026-11-11 02:55 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $119 $112 0.94x 2026-11-11 02:55 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) [frizy1235](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/frizy1235) $119 $90.83 0.76x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) [frizy1235](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/frizy1235) $119 $90.83 0.76x 2026-11-11 02:33 UTC

[AK-47 | First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) [frizy1235](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/frizy1235) $119 $91.18 0.77x 2026-11-11 02:33 UTC

[SG 553 | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) [-ʙʟᴀᴅᴇ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/-%CA%99%CA%9F%E1%B4%80%E1%B4%85%E1%B4%87) $119 $62.48 0.53x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $119 | 69.01% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $119 | 68.85% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $119 | 68.84% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $119 | 69.10% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $119 | 69.41% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $119 | 69.41% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $119 | 69.40% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $119 | 69.46% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $119 | 69.51% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $119 | 69.88% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $119 | 69.87% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $119 | 69.91% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $119 | 69.88% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $119 | 69.89% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $119 | 69.90% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $119 | 69.84% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $119 | 69.95% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $119 | 70.27% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $119 | 70.27% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $119 | 70.19% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $119 | 69.91% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $119 | 69.99% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $119 | 69.98% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $119 | 69.99% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $119 | 69.97% | 33 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 22.8% covert 16.6% extraordinary 3.7% restricted 28.4% #ffd700 0.0% gold 0.1% red 12.3% Ancient 16.2% best hit $537 (4.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.01 on average: an expected loss of $30.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt