---
title: "Bitcoin case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bitcoin ($80.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.73% from 34 items with odds, observed 76.95% over 69 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Bitcoin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Bitcoin

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=all)

Price · $80.99

Advertised RTP · 76.73% · EV $62.14 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.95% · 69 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 40 openings · below min

30 days · 69 openings · below min

since tracking started · 69 openings · below min

41.5% 79.0% 116.5%

**Small sample.** 69 openings and 22.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=24h) | 8 | 79.10% ±36.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=7d) | 40 | 67.94% ±16.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10) | 69 | 76.95% ±12.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin10?window=all) | 69 | 76.95% ±12.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 71 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,360 | $1,117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 4,367 | $716 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,815 | $615 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,460 | $490 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,066 | $439 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 948 | $421 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 246 | $258 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $175 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $157 | 3.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $150 | 3.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $123 | 4.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $120 | 4.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $104 | 4.6% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $96.77 | 4.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $95.35 | 4.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $78.06 | 4.8% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $74.98 | 4.8% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $71.10 | 4.7% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $69.09 | 4.7% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $65.84 | 4.6% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $59.94 | 4.4% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $54.03 | 4.0% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $51.85 | 3.9% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $44.86 | 3.4% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $39.88 | 2.9% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $37.60 | 2.7% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $37.48 | 2.7% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $37.03 | 2.7% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $34.19 | 2.4% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $33.05 | 2.3% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $32.48 | 2.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $32.13 | 2.2% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $29.52 | 1.9% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $28.70 | 1.8% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bitcoin10)

[AWP | Asiimov weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $80.99 $94.88 1.17x 2026-11-11 03:53 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $80.99 $44.95 0.56x 2026-11-11 03:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot) [dust2 pick = troll game](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dust2%20pick%20%3D%20troll%20game) $80.99 $30.54 0.38x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream) [M1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/M1) $80.99 $32.83 0.41x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire) [M1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/M1) $80.99 $72.09 0.89x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [Corona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Corona) $80.99 $44.43 0.55x 2026-11-10 18:17 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Corona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Corona) $80.99 $119 1.47x 2026-11-10 18:17 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) [Corona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Corona) $80.99 $73.77 0.91x 2026-11-10 18:16 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [Alatei](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Alatei) $80.99 $95.88 1.18x 2026-11-09 20:25 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) [Alatei](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Alatei) $80.99 $32.42 0.40x 2026-11-09 20:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.73% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.06% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 33 |
| 3 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $80.99 | 78.24% | 33 |
| 3 Nov, 05:56 UTC | $80.99 | 78.29% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 10.8% covert 48.4% sunny 0.1% epic 0.1% extraordinary 1.5% rare 1.5% red 7.3% Covert 8.9% pink 8.8% Immortal 4.5% Ancient 8.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.73 on average: an expected loss of $23.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt