--- title: "Bitcoin case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bitcoin ($16.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.19% from 37 items with odds, observed 73.83% over 375 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Bitcoin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Bitcoin A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=all) Price · $16.99 Advertised RTP · 73.19% · EV $12.43 from 37 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.83% · 375 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 74.10% ±7.16 371 openings 30 days · 73.83% ±7.12 375 openings since tracking started · 73.83% ±7.12 375 openings 25.0% 55.3% 85.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=24h) | 21 | 55.18% ±29.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=7d) | 371 | 74.10% ±7.16 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2) | 375 | 73.83% ±7.12 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin2?window=all) | 375 | 73.83% ±7.12 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 386 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 188,194 | $1,061 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186,633 | $1,015 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 118,293 | $477 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 104,162 | $433 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100,127 | $422 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 87,593 | $388 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 13,523 | $176 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 9,722 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 8,367 | $148 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,960 | $124 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,257 | $117 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 3,048 | $105 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,594 | $99.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,210 | $94.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,086 | $73.93 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,023 | $72.45 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 953 | $70.73 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 598 | $60.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 586 | $60.01 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 371 | $51.42 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $51.34 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $44.58 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $39.91 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $37.82 | 2.0% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $37.25 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $36.79 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $36.49 | 2.2% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $32.73 | 2.6% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $31.94 | 2.8% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $31.93 | 2.8% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $30.12 | 3.1% | 1 | 4.9 | 0.20× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $28.41 | 3.4% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $22.93 | 5.1% | 0 | 10.6 | 0.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $19.72 | 6.6% | 0 | 16.0 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 14.7% | $11.87 | 14.0% | 9 | 56.6 | 0.16× | | [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 24.3% | $9.30 | 18.1% | 23 | 93.6 | 0.25× | | [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 43.1% | $6.44 | 22.3% | 24 | 166.3 | 0.14× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bitcoin2) [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [PonySlaystation](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PonySlaystation) $16.99 $6.46 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [PonySlaystation](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PonySlaystation) $16.99 $6.46 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) [datss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/datss) $16.99 $9.27 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $6.46 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $9.27 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $6.46 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $11.87 0.70x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $6.46 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $9.27 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) [Снюс Виллис](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BD%D1%8E%D1%81%20%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%81) $16.99 $37.19 2.19x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $16.99 | 73.19% | 37 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $16.99 | 73.54% | 37 | | 4 Nov, 07:05 UTC | $16.99 | 74.19% | 37 | | 3 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $16.99 | 74.58% | 37 | | 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | $16.99 | 74.60% | 37 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 46.6% covert 6.3% sunny 0.0% epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% rare 0.0% red 0.2% Covert 0.4% pink 1.4% Immortal 0.7% Ancient 1.3% #d32ee6 43.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.19 on average: an expected loss of $26.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt