---
title: "Bitcoin case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bitcoin ($2.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.96% from 46 items with odds, observed 85.78% over 3,584 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Bitcoin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Bitcoin

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 76.96% · EV $2.07 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.78% · 3,584 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 40.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76.20% ±10.09 936 openings

7 days · 85.82% ±5.41 3,397 openings

30 days · 85.78% ±5.26 3,584 openings

since tracking started · 85.78% ±5.26 3,584 openings

65.5% 78.8% 92.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.40% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (80.52% – 91.04%, 3,584 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=24h) | 936 | 76.20% ±10.1 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=7d) | 3,397 | 85.82% ±5.41 | +3.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3) | 3,584 | 85.78% ±5.26 | +3.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin3?window=all) | 3,584 | 85.78% ±5.26 | +3.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,683 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 199,917 | $1,122 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 199,685 | $720 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 199,530 | $629 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 198,869 | $469 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 198,581 | $435 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 198,458 | $423 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 193,431 | $259 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 181,793 | $180 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 174,523 | $159 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 171,156 | $152 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153,654 | $125 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143,680 | $114 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 131,552 | $104 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122,084 | $97.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 119,357 | $95.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 90,124 | $78.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 82,990 | $74.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 76,552 | $71.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71,489 | $68.87 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54,177 | $60.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 52,830 | $59.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 43,399 | $54.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26,669 | $44.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 22,414 | $41.99 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 18,261 | $38.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 17,228 | $38.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 16,891 | $37.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 16,260 | $37.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 15,912 | $37.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 11,555 | $33.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 11,424 | $32.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 10,638 | $32.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 8,519 | $29.64 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 7,092 | $27.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 4,472 | $23.73 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 2,498 | $19.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 585 | $11.89 | 1.0% | 5 | 8.0 | 0.62× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $8.63 | 1.8% | 9 | 20.5 | 0.44× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $6.25 | 3.3% | 15 | 51.7 | 0.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $4.01 | 7.2% | 56 | 173.8 | 0.32× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $3.77 | 7.9% | 57 | 203.0 | 0.28× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $3.56 | 8.6% | 57 | 234.6 | 0.24× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $3.25 | 9.9% | 67 | 294.4 | 0.23× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 19.5% | $1.89 | 17.8% | 156 | 915.2 | 0.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 23.6% | $1.67 | 19.1% | 128 | 1107.4 | 0.12× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 35.6% | $1.14 | 19.6% | 366 | 1666.4 | 0.22× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter) [^Die^78](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5EDie%5E78) $2.69 $438 162.8x 2026-11-07 19:22 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [Brave HearT \*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Brave%20HearT%20%20*-7100248) $2.69 $153 56.94x 2026-11-06 18:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bitcoin3)

[Glock-18 | Vogue weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $3.53 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.74 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $4.17 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[P250 | Franklin weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.94 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.09 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.09 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.74 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.09 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $1.74 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration) [DRAGon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAGon) $2.69 $3.40 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.96% | 46 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.49% | 46 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.53% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.65% | 46 |
| 4 Nov, 05:18 UTC | $2.69 | 77.78% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 23:08 UTC | $2.69 | 77.76% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 20.2% covert 0.1% sunny 0.0% epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% rare 0.0% red 0.0% Covert 0.0% pink 41.9% Immortal 0.0% Ancient 0.0% #d32ee6 1.1% Legendary 13.1% Rare 23.6% best hit $438 (162.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.96 on average: an expected loss of $23.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt