---
title: "Bitcoin case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bitcoin ($60.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.16% from 35 items with odds, observed 71.45% over 98 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Bitcoin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Bitcoin

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=all)

Price · $60.99

Advertised RTP · 76.16% · EV $46.45 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.45% · 98 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 94 openings · below min

30 days · 98 openings · below min

since tracking started · 98 openings · below min

30.0% 70.0% 110.0%

**Small sample.** 98 openings and 31.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=24h) | 5 | 69.96% ±39.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=7d) | 94 | 70.38% ±9.33 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9) | 98 | 71.45% ±9.13 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bitcoin9?window=all) | 98 | 71.45% ±9.13 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54,841 | $1,087 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 27,306 | $812 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 11,821 | $596 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 5,849 | $466 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,065 | $443 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,015 | $441 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 1,090 | $260 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 368 | $177 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 260 | $156 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 233 | $150 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $122 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $120 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $105 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $101 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $94.06 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $78.23 | 3.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $74.41 | 3.6% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $70.96 | 3.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $70.39 | 3.8% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $65.56 | 4.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $59.72 | 4.3% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $51.09 | 4.6% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $49.80 | 4.6% | 0 | 4.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $44.44 | 4.7% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $39.73 | 4.6% | 1 | 5.3 | 0.19× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $37.86 | 4.6% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.37× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $37.83 | 4.6% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $37.20 | 4.5% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.36× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $37.05 | 4.5% | 1 | 5.6 | 0.18× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $32.93 | 4.3% | 1 | 5.9 | 0.17× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $32.83 | 4.3% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $31.96 | 4.2% | 0 | 6.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $30.42 | 4.1% | 1 | 6.1 | 0.16× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $28.60 | 3.9% | 1 | 6.2 | 0.16× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $23.44 | 3.2% | 2 | 6.2 | 0.32× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bitcoin9)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade) [Heraclius II](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Heraclius%20II) $60.99 $74.13 1.22x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red) [Medik-MoPedik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Medik-MoPedik) $60.99 $38.30 0.63x 2026-11-11 09:11 UTC

[AWP | Redline weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline) [WHO&SOS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/WHO%26SOS) $60.99 $35.32 0.58x 2026-11-11 09:06 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) [Heraclius II](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Heraclius%20II) $60.99 $32.77 0.54x 2026-11-11 07:14 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream) [𝐂𝐮𝐛𝟏𝐤 :𝟑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%82%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%9B%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%A4%20%3A%F0%9D%9F%91) $60.99 $32.83 0.54x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC

[P250 | Apep's Curse weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse) [CENTNER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/CENTNER) $60.99 $37.95 0.62x 2026-11-10 10:54 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot) [CENTNER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/CENTNER) $60.99 $29.10 0.48x 2026-11-10 10:54 UTC

[AK-47 | Nightwish weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish) [CENTNER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/CENTNER) $60.99 $60.02 0.98x 2026-11-10 10:54 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast) [BuyFox](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BuyFox) $60.99 $44.73 0.73x 2026-11-10 10:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red) [SoLiSt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SoLiSt) $60.99 $38.92 0.64x 2026-11-09 21:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $60.99 | 76.16% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $60.99 | 77.31% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $60.99 | 77.41% | 35 |
| 3 Nov, 10:09 UTC | $60.99 | 77.74% | 35 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $60.99 | 77.99% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 15.2% covert 43.6% epic 0.0% sunny 0.0% extraordinary 0.4% rare 0.4% red 4.4% Covert 6.8% pink 11.2% Immortal 5.7% Ancient 12.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.16 on average: an expected loss of $23.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt