---
title: "Кровавый жнец case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Кровавый жнец ($29.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.94% from 12 items with odds, observed 113.10% over 133 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Кровавый жнец](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Кровавый жнец

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=all)

Price · $29.99

Advertised RTP · 66.94% · EV $20.07 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 113.10% · 133 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 19 openings · below min

7 days · 111.91% ±25.30 111 openings

30 days · 113.10% ±23.09 133 openings

since tracking started · 113.10% ±23.09 133 openings

66.0% 153.0% 240.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.45% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (90.01% – 136.19%, 133 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=24h) | 19 | 179.48% ±60.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=7d) | 111 | 111.91% ±25.3 | +3.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper) | 133 | 113.10% ±23.1 | +3.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bloodyreaper?window=all) | 133 | 113.10% ±23.1 | +3.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 133 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 4,449 | $599 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 4,279 | $585 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,263 | $428 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 987 | $308 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 373 | $217 | 2.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $178 | 4.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $110 | 10.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $109 | 10.7% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $102 | 12.3% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $78.29 | 19.9% | 17 | 6.8 | 2.50× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $69.59 | 24.6% | 18 | 9.4 | 1.91× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 80.5% | $2.72 | 10.9% | 83 | 107.1 | 0.77× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bloodyreaper)

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Seijuro Akashi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Seijuro%20Akashi) $29.99 $2.73 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Seijuro Akashi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Seijuro%20Akashi) $29.99 $2.73 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Seijuro Akashi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Seijuro%20Akashi) $29.99 $2.73 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Seijuro Akashi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Seijuro%20Akashi) $29.99 $2.73 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $29.99 $2.72 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Бяка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B0) $29.99 $106 3.54x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Бяка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B0) $29.99 $2.72 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Бяка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B0) $29.99 $2.72 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Бяка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B0) $29.99 $217 7.24x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) [Бяка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B0) $29.99 $2.72 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $29.99 | 66.94% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $29.99 | 66.75% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $29.99 | 66.59% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $29.99 | 66.57% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $29.99 | 66.83% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $29.99 | 67.13% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $29.99 | 67.13% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $29.99 | 67.12% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $29.99 | 67.19% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $29.99 | 67.24% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $29.99 | 67.62% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $29.99 | 67.59% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $29.99 | 67.59% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $29.99 | 67.61% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $29.99 | 67.60% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $29.99 | 67.61% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.62% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.59% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.60% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.62% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.61% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $29.99 | 67.54% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $29.99 | 67.67% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $29.99 | 67.96% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $29.99 | 67.98% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $29.99 | 67.88% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $29.99 | 67.62% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $29.99 | 67.69% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $29.99 | 67.69% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $29.99 | 67.71% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.5% extraordinary 2.0% #4b69ff 80.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.94 on average: an expected loss of $33.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
