--- title: "Blossom mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blossom mining ($0.07) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 65.71% from 6 items with odds, observed 17052.01% over 1,437 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Blossom mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Blossom mining A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=all) Price · $0.07 Advertised RTP · 65.71% · EV $0.05 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17052.01% · 1,437 openings, odds method Variance · 103.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 565 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 136 openings · below min 7 days · 1,146 openings · below min 30 days · 1,437 openings · below min since tracking started · 1,437 openings · below min 64.0% 9088.3% 18112.5% **Small sample.** 1,437 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=24h) | 136 | 17941.60% ±170.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=7d) | 1,146 | 17097.51% ±59.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining) | 1,437 | 17052.01% ±53.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/blossommining?window=all) | 1,437 | 17052.01% ±53.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,437 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,679 | $30.29 | 6.2% | 13 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,885 | $19.86 | 8.8% | 95 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,395 | $12.20 | 19.0% | 256 | 1.0 | 248.58× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,325 | $11.98 | 19.7% | 319 | 1.1 | 294.24× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 728 | $9.71 | 29.0% | 618 | 2.0 | 313.09× | | [AUG \| Commando Company (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 99.7% | \<$0.01 | 17.3% | 0 | 1432.5 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=blossommining) [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [batya](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/batya) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 20:30 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [18+](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/18%2B) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) [пупуня](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BD%D1%8F) $0.07 $12.00 171.4x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [пупуня](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BD%D1%8F) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $0.07 $12.16 173.7x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) [пупуня](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BD%D1%8F) $0.07 $29.76 425.1x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [пупуня](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BD%D1%8F) $0.07 $9.98 142.6x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.07 | 65.71% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.07 | 64.59% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.07 | 64.30% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.07 | 64.33% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.07 | 65.80% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.07 | 66.03% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.07 | 66.03% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.07 | 66.02% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.07 | 65.39% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.07 | 65.45% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.07 | 65.77% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.07 | 65.75% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.07 | 65.73% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.07 | 65.76% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.07 | 65.75% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.07 | 65.76% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 65.77% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 65.74% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.07 | 65.75% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.07 | 66.00% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 66.14% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 65.71% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.07 | 65.84% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.07 | 66.88% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.07 | 66.52% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.07 | 66.18% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.07 | 65.99% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.07 | 65.84% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.07 | 65.93% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.07 | 66.28% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 0.0% Legendary 0.0% classified 0.3% #b0c3d9 99.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.71 on average: an expected loss of $34.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt