---
title: "Блю гем мания case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Блю гем мания ($60.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 70.13% from 12 items with odds, observed 64.82% over 379 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Блю гем мания](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Блю гем мания

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=all)

Price · $60.99

Advertised RTP · 70.13% · EV $42.77 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 64.82% · 379 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82 openings · below min

7 days · 65.61% ±8.62 343 openings

30 days · 64.82% ±8.20 379 openings

since tracking started · 64.82% ±8.20 379 openings

45.5% 64.0% 82.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=24h) | 82 | 63.91% ±17.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=7d) | 343 | 65.61% ±8.62 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania) | 379 | 64.82% ±8.20 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bluegemmania?window=all) | 379 | 64.82% ±8.20 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 379 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 4,951 | $718 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 3,710 | $650 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,670 | $496 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 853 | $396 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $240 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $238 | 3.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $214 | 3.6% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $144 | 7.8% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.80× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $91.84 | 17.5% | 26 | 30.9 | 0.84× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $85.24 | 19.9% | 21 | 37.8 | 0.56× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 32.1% | $53.40 | 40.1% | 130 | 121.8 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 45.4% | $2.52 | 2.7% | 44 | 172.1 | 0.26× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bluegemmania)

[★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [Desperado](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Desperado) $60.99 $91.84 1.51x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [The Lupa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/The%20Lupa) $60.99 $93.87 1.54x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $53.36 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $2.66 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $2.66 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $2.66 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $53.36 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $2.66 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $53.36 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $60.99 $2.66 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $60.99 | 70.13% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $60.99 | 69.95% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $60.99 | 69.80% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $60.99 | 69.78% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $60.99 | 70.05% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $60.99 | 70.35% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $60.99 | 70.36% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $60.99 | 70.35% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $60.99 | 70.41% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $60.99 | 70.46% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $60.99 | 70.86% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $60.99 | 70.83% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $60.99 | 70.83% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $60.99 | 70.86% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $60.99 | 70.86% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $60.99 | 70.85% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.86% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.84% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.84% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.85% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.85% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $60.99 | 70.79% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $60.99 | 70.90% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $60.99 | 71.23% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $60.99 | 71.24% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $60.99 | 71.15% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $60.99 | 70.86% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $60.99 | 70.95% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $60.99 | 70.94% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $60.99 | 70.95% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 8.8% gold 10.7% covert knife 0.1% classified 0.5% Immortal 2.3% extraordinary 32.1% violet 45.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.13 on average: an expected loss of $29.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt