---
title: "Bugatti Tourbillon case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bugatti Tourbillon ($1,399.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 70.73% from 17 items with odds, observed 75.03% over 301 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Bugatti Tourbillon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Bugatti Tourbillon

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=all)

Price · $1,399.00

Advertised RTP · 70.73% · EV $989.55 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.03% · 301 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 73.80% ±5.96 262 openings

30 days · 75.03% ±5.57 301 openings

since tracking started · 75.03% ±5.57 301 openings

40.0% 64.8% 89.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=24h) | 14 | 64.87% ±24.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=7d) | 262 | 73.80% ±5.96 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon) | 301 | 75.03% ±5.57 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon?window=all) | 301 | 75.03% ±5.57 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 301 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 928 | $7,581 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 686 | $6,771 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $4,541 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $3,271 | 3.4% | 11 | 3.1 | 3.55× |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $2,970 | 3.9% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $2,024 | 6.5% | 3 | 9.5 | 0.32× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1,996 | 6.6% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1,151 | 9.0% | 20 | 23.4 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,149 | 9.0% | 25 | 23.4 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1,149 | 9.0% | 2 | 23.4 | 0.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1,074 | 9.0% | 21 | 25.0 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1,016 | 9.0% | 20 | 26.3 | 0.76× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.1% | $784 | 8.0% | 33 | 30.4 | 1.09× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 10.3% | $727 | 7.6% | 35 | 31.0 | 1.13× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 10.3% | $563 | 5.8% | 33 | 30.9 | 1.07× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $478 | 4.7% | 30 | 29.5 | 1.02× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $467 | 4.6% | 7 | 29.2 | 0.24× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1,399 $7,702 5.51x 2026-11-04 01:43 UTC

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $1,399 $4,939 3.53x 2026-11-06 16:32 UTC

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $1,399 $4,825 3.45x 2026-11-06 22:38 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [Poromedic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Poromedic) $1,399 $4,484 3.21x 2026-11-03 16:09 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $1,399 $4,359 3.12x 2026-11-04 22:36 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $1,399 $3,402 2.43x 2026-11-04 17:55 UTC

[AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $1,399 $3,268 2.34x 2026-11-04 17:55 UTC

[AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [DaniDropper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaniDropper) $1,399 $2,803 2.00x 2026-11-03 18:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1,399 $2,792 2.00x 2026-11-07 00:08 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $1,399 $2,789 1.99x 2026-11-08 20:31 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=bugattitourbillon)

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $885 0.63x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $477 0.34x 2026-11-11 02:40 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $1,191 0.85x 2026-11-11 02:40 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $563 0.40x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $466 0.33x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $1,087 0.78x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $1,191 0.85x 2026-11-11 02:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $1,147 0.82x 2026-11-11 02:36 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $1,399 $1,152 0.82x 2026-11-11 02:35 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [pup](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pup) $1,399 $1,192 0.85x 2026-11-10 19:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1,399 | 70.73% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1,399 | 70.57% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1,399 | 70.55% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1,399 | 70.83% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1,399 | 71.14% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1,399 | 71.14% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1,399 | 71.13% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1,399 | 71.19% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1,399 | 71.25% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1,399 | 71.65% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1,399 | 71.62% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1,399 | 71.61% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1,399 | 71.64% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1,399 | 71.64% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1,399 | 71.64% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.65% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.62% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.63% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.64% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.64% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1,399 | 71.58% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1,399 | 71.69% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1,399 | 72.02% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1,399 | 72.03% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1,399 | 71.94% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1,399 | 71.65% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1,399 | 71.74% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1,399 | 71.73% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1,399 | 71.74% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1,399 | 71.71% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 35.5% contraband 0.4% classified 26.9% extraordinary 13.5% sunny 13.4% rare 10.3% best hit $7,702 (5.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.73 on average: an expected loss of $29.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt