---
title: "CACHORRO1337 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CACHORRO1337 ($24.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.78% from 44 items with odds, observed 77.34% over 779 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CACHORRO1337](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CACHORRO1337

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=all)

Price · $24.99

Advertised RTP · 76.78% · EV $19.19 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.34% · 779 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 56 openings · below min

7 days · 76.59% ±5.25 602 openings

30 days · 77.34% ±4.63 779 openings

since tracking started · 77.34% ±4.63 779 openings

54.0% 73.3% 92.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=24h) | 56 | 73.39% ±18.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=7d) | 602 | 76.59% ±5.25 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337) | 779 | 77.34% ±4.63 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cachorro1337?window=all) | 779 | 77.34% ±4.63 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 779 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194,810 | $2,205 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 167,742 | $1,141 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 112,848 | $718 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 75,966 | $559 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $456 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 34,016 | $388 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 25,742 | $348 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 18,643 | $308 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 11,113 | $256 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,483 | $212 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 5,527 | $200 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,167 | $196 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,992 | $193 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,436 | $170 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 2,923 | $161 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 2,687 | $156 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,065 | $143 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,245 | $120 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 922 | $108 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 894 | $107 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 837 | $105 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 374 | $79.26 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) | 1 in 361 | $78.26 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $72.80 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 291 | $72.55 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) | 1 in 247 | $68.45 | 1.4% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 241 | $67.85 | 1.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 232 | $66.97 | 1.5% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $58.50 | 1.9% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $51.91 | 2.3% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $41.07 | 3.4% | 12 | 12.5 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $39.70 | 3.6% | 17 | 13.6 | 1.25× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $36.79 | 4.0% | 8 | 16.3 | 0.49× |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $36.72 | 4.0% | 14 | 16.4 | 0.85× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $32.73 | 4.7% | 19 | 21.5 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $31.82 | 4.9% | 17 | 23.0 | 0.74× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $30.59 | 5.1% | 21 | 25.1 | 0.84× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $19.46 | 7.6% | 70 | 58.6 | 1.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $16.59 | 8.1% | 62 | 72.7 | 0.85× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 10.2% | $15.29 | 8.1% | 98 | 79.5 | 1.23× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) | 12.5% | $11.59 | 7.6% | 132 | 97.8 | 1.35× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 12.6% | $11.52 | 7.6% | 72 | 98.0 | 0.73× |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 13.3% | $9.69 | 6.7% | 61 | 103.5 | 0.59× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) | 13.4% | $8.71 | 6.1% | 14 | 104.4 | 0.13× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=cachorro1337)

[MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) [keDo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/keDo) $24.99 $8.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $24.99 $8.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $24.99 $11.43 0.46x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $24.99 $32.65 1.31x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $24.99 $8.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) [Прикол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB) $24.99 $38.02 1.52x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) [Dj Shipley](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dj%20Shipley) $24.99 $39.00 1.56x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) [BuLLeT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BuLLeT) $24.99 $11.61 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:25 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) [...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/...) $24.99 $15.30 0.61x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) [...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/...) $24.99 $31.87 1.28x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $24.99 | 76.78% | 44 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $24.99 | 76.58% | 44 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $24.99 | 76.42% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $24.99 | 76.40% | 44 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $24.99 | 76.69% | 44 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $24.99 | 77.02% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $24.99 | 77.04% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $24.99 | 77.01% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $24.99 | 77.08% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $24.99 | 77.14% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $24.99 | 77.58% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $24.99 | 77.55% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $24.99 | 77.54% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $24.99 | 77.56% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $24.99 | 77.57% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $24.99 | 77.57% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.58% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.55% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.56% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.58% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.56% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $24.99 | 77.50% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $24.99 | 77.63% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $24.99 | 77.99% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $24.99 | 77.99% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $24.99 | 77.89% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $24.99 | 77.57% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $24.99 | 77.67% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $24.99 | 77.66% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $24.99 | 77.68% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.7% classified 60.5% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.4% restricted 2.9% mil spec 0.0% red 4.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.3% #eb4b4b 0.3% Ancient 2.9% Legendary 7.5% violet 13.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.78 on average: an expected loss of $23.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt