---
title: "Call of Duty: Warzone case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Call of Duty: Warzone ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.22% from 14 items with odds, observed 79.42% over 8,864 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Call of Duty: Warzone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Call of Duty: Warzone

A case on csgo.net (Limited edition), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 76.22% · EV $5.18 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.42% · 8,864 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.86% ±6.59 1,368 openings

7 days · 79.98% ±3.19 7,492 openings

30 days · 79.42% ±2.90 8,864 openings

since tracking started · 79.42% ±2.90 8,864 openings

72.5% 79.8% 87.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=24h) | 1,368 | 79.86% ±6.59 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=7d) | 7,492 | 79.98% ±3.19 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty) | 8,864 | 79.42% ±2.90 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/callofduty?window=all) | 8,864 | 79.42% ±2.90 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,881 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 499 | $160 | 6.2% | 25 | 17.8 | 1.40× |
| [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-well-worn) | 1 in 491 | $82.14 | 3.2% | 20 | 18.1 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $49.97 | 2.1% | 12 | 19.3 | 0.62× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $33.87 | 1.7% | 26 | 22.5 | 1.15× |
| [M4A4 \| Falak (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-falak-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $15.10 | 2.3% | 88 | 69.2 | 1.27× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $8.56 | 5.0% | 291 | 267.3 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $7.90 | 5.6% | 300 | 324.9 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $6.41 | 7.5% | 270 | 537.2 | 0.50× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $6.06 | 8.1% | 612 | 611.1 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $5.36 | 9.3% | 776 | 801.5 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 11.4% | $4.79 | 10.6% | 852 | 1016.0 | 0.84× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-field-tested) | 12.4% | $4.59 | 11.0% | 725 | 1103.9 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 18.2% | $3.71 | 13.1% | 257 | 1617.6 | 0.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 27.6% | $2.70 | 14.4% | 1,490 | 2454.5 | 0.61× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=callofduty)

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $4.55 0.67x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $2.69 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $4.55 0.67x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $3.30 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $5.96 0.88x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $2.69 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $2.69 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $2.69 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $2.69 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

[P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $6.79 $4.99 0.73x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.22% | 14 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 76.03% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.88% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.86% | 14 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 76.14% | 14 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 76.47% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.46% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.43% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.51% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.59% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.97% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 76.96% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.00% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.04% | 14 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.00% | 14 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.99% | 14 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 14 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.93% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.05% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 77.43% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 76.97% | 14 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.09% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 08:09 UTC | $6.79 | 77.15% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 07:05 UTC | $6.79 | 77.24% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 05:18 UTC | $6.79 | 77.27% | 13 |
| 3 Nov, 23:08 UTC | $6.79 | 77.24% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% red 0.4% classified 0.3% pink 16.5% #4b69ff 6.0% violet 6.9% restricted 39.1% mil spec 12.4% #d32ee6 18.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.22 on average: an expected loss of $23.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt