--- title: "Cheap knife mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap knife mining ($0.53) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 62.17% from 6 items with odds, observed 8479.55% over 1,316 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Cheap knife mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Cheap knife mining A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=all) Price · $0.53 Advertised RTP · 62.17% · EV $0.33 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 8479.55% · 1,316 openings, odds method Variance · 49.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 220 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 149 openings · below min 7 days · 8501.14% ±41.12 1,121 openings 30 days · 8479.55% ±38.00 1,316 openings since tracking started · 8479.55% ±38.00 1,316 openings 61.5% 4380.8% 8700.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 62.73% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (8441.55% – 8517.55%, 1,316 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=24h) | 149 | 8585.91% ±113.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=7d) | 1,121 | 8501.14% ±41.1 | +402.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining) | 1,316 | 8479.55% ±38.0 | +434.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cheapknifemining?window=all) | 1,316 | 8479.55% ±38.0 | +434.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,318 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 756 | $53.62 | 21.5% | 257 | 1.7 | 147.36× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 655 | $48.03 | 22.3% | 349 | 2.0 | 173.33× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 591 | $44.90 | 23.0% | 326 | 2.2 | 146.30× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 454 | $38.61 | 25.8% | 359 | 2.9 | 123.79× | | [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 61.9% | $0.03 | 5.4% | 0 | 815.4 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 37.5% | $0.02 | 1.9% | 0 | 493.8 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [c4pt4in\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/c4pt4in*-7120314) $0.53 $54.92 103.6x 2026-11-10 09:00 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [c4pt4in\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/c4pt4in*-7120314) $0.53 $54.92 103.6x 2026-11-10 08:57 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [c4pt4in\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/c4pt4in*-7120314) $0.53 $54.92 103.6x 2026-11-10 08:54 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [ז'𝙍𝙪𝙠𝙞𝙖](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D7%96'%F0%9D%99%8D%F0%9D%99%AA%F0%9D%99%A0%F0%9D%99%9E%F0%9D%99%96) $0.53 $54.81 103.4x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.53 $54.77 103.3x 2026-11-10 10:17 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $0.53 $54.76 103.3x 2026-11-10 11:55 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [CЕня"Дальнобой"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/C%D0%95%D0%BD%D1%8F%26quot%3B%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%B9%26quot%3B) $0.53 $54.76 103.3x 2026-11-10 11:31 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $0.53 $54.76 103.3x 2026-11-10 11:26 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [grachyovstas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/grachyovstas) $0.53 $54.76 103.3x 2026-11-10 11:06 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [grachyovstas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/grachyovstas) $0.53 $54.76 103.3x 2026-11-10 11:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=cheapknifemining) [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [利尔泰加](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E5%88%A9%E5%B0%94%E6%B3%B0%E5%8A%A0) $0.53 $37.86 71.43x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [I miss Vadym](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/I%20miss%20%20Vadym) $0.53 $43.86 82.75x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [Garp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Garp) $0.53 $53.56 101.1x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [SOAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOAY) $0.53 $43.86 82.75x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [SOAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOAY) $0.53 $51.60 97.36x 2026-11-11 16:29 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [SOAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOAY) $0.53 $53.56 101.1x 2026-11-11 16:29 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [SOAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOAY) $0.53 $37.86 71.43x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [SOAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOAY) $0.53 $51.60 97.36x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.53 $37.86 71.43x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.53 $53.56 101.1x 2026-11-11 16:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.53 | 62.17% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.53 | 62.04% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.53 | 61.92% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.53 | 61.90% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.53 | 62.10% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.53 | 62.39% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.53 | 62.42% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.53 | 62.46% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.53 | 62.44% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.53 | 62.56% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.53 | 62.87% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.53 | 62.85% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.53 | 62.86% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.53 | 62.88% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.53 | 62.87% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.53 | 62.85% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.82% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.76% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.86% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.88% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.89% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 62.80% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.53 | 62.89% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.53 | 63.16% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.53 | 63.18% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.53 | 63.12% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.53 | 62.80% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.53 | 62.99% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.53 | 62.95% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.53 | 62.95% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.1% covert knife 0.3% gold 0.2% industrial 61.9% consumer 37.5% best hit $54.92 (103.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 62.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $62.17 on average: an expected loss of $37.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt