---
title: "Курочки case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Курочки ($2.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.33% from 24 items with odds, observed 84.09% over 328 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Курочки](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Курочки

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=all)

Price · $2.49

Advertised RTP · 74.33% · EV $1.85 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.09% · 328 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.12% ±12.73 152 openings

7 days · 84.88% ±8.91 304 openings

30 days · 84.09% ±8.56 328 openings

since tracking started · 84.09% ±8.56 328 openings

74.0% 89.8% 105.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 74.85% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (75.53% – 92.65%, 328 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=24h) | 152 | 92.12% ±12.7 | +2.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=7d) | 304 | 84.88% ±8.91 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens) | 328 | 84.09% ±8.56 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chickens?window=all) | 328 | 84.09% ±8.56 | +2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 330 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 9,721 | $87.48 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 9,481 | $70.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 7,718 | $40.17 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 4,077 | $23.58 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 2,169 | $17.36 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 1,130 | $13.34 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-field-tested) | 1 in 526 | $10.04 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 422 | $9.26 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 325 | $8.42 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.97× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $5.21 | 3.2% | 9 | 3.7 | 2.42× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $5.00 | 3.4% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.93× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $4.27 | 4.3% | 10 | 6.1 | 1.63× |
| [P90 \| Schematic (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-schematic-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $4.21 | 4.4% | 11 | 6.4 | 1.73× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $3.70 | 5.2% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.39× |
| [P90 \| Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-warfare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $3.29 | 6.1% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $2.69 | 7.5% | 34 | 16.9 | 2.01× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.56 | 7.8% | 18 | 18.5 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.80 | 9.2% | 0 | 31.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $1.72 | 9.2% | 52 | 32.7 | 1.59× |
| [Sticker \| Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) | 10.1% | $1.69 | 9.2% | 30 | 33.2 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Scorched (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scorched-field-tested) | 10.4% | $1.64 | 9.2% | 0 | 34.3 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) | 13.1% | $1.06 | 7.5% | 41 | 43.2 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) | 11.9% | $0.65 | 4.2% | 27 | 39.3 | 0.69× |
| [Sticker \| Chicken Strike sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-strike) | 11.3% | $0.59 | 3.6% | 36 | 37.4 | 0.96× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=chickens)

[P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) [mulashka228](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mulashka228) $2.49 $2.55 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC

[P90 | Tiger Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-field-tested) [Satella](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Satella) $2.49 $13.34 5.36x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) [-𝓪𝓵𝔃𝓲](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/-%F0%9D%93%AA%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%83%F0%9D%93%B2) $2.49 $1.22 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:14 UTC

[P90 | Module (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-field-tested) [LoperoMID](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LoperoMID) $2.49 $1.06 0.43x 2026-11-11 08:22 UTC

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) [Obito](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Obito) $2.49 $3.75 1.51x 2026-11-11 07:16 UTC

[P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) [NAZARBAYEV](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NAZARBAYEV) $2.49 $9.36 3.76x 2026-11-11 03:42 UTC

[Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) [Argument](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Argument) $2.49 $0.65 0.26x 2026-11-11 03:17 UTC

[P90 | Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) [aldapsiger](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/aldapsiger) $2.49 $1.01 0.41x 2026-11-11 02:23 UTC

[P90 | Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) [aldapsiger](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/aldapsiger) $2.49 $1.01 0.41x 2026-11-11 00:07 UTC

[Sticker | Chicken Strike sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-strike) [спайк](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D1%81%D0%BF%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BA) $2.49 $0.59 0.24x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.49 | 74.33% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.17% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.15% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.44% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.49 | 74.77% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.83% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.82% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.82% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.89% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.49 | 75.32% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.49 | 75.30% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.49 | 75.30% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.33% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.31% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.36% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.34% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.27% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.27% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.36% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.41% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.25% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.36% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.49 | 75.67% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.49 | 75.73% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.59% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.36% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.44% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.41% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.49 | 75.43% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.49 | 75.44% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 3.2% covert 0.0% pink 0.0% restricted 16.9% #4b69ff 5.7% industrial 0.2% Legendary 1.1% uncommon 1.3% milspec 1.9% Rare 14.7% Common 9.5% high 10.1% consumer 10.4% mil spec 13.1% High Grade 11.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.33 on average: an expected loss of $25.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt