---
title: "Хром Хартс case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Хром Хартс ($89.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.30% from 29 items with odds, observed 72.98% over 403 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Хром Хартс](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Хром Хартс

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=all)

Price · $89.99

Advertised RTP · 73.30% · EV $65.97 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.98% · 403 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73 openings · below min

7 days · 73.09% ±6.30 359 openings

30 days · 72.98% ±5.96 403 openings

since tracking started · 72.98% ±5.96 403 openings

62.0% 76.8% 91.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=24h) | 73 | 76.88% ±14.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=7d) | 359 | 73.09% ±6.30 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts) | 403 | 72.98% ±5.96 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/chromehearts?window=all) | 403 | 72.98% ±5.96 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 403 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 9,852 | $3,271 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,381 | $1,996 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 7,439 | $1,149 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 5,540 | $865 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 4,139 | $716 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 1,863 | $489 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,310 | $424 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,259 | $418 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 780 | $348 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 705 | $335 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $205 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $162 | 2.5% | 8 | 4.0 | 1.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $127 | 3.5% | 4 | 7.3 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $97.36 | 4.7% | 16 | 12.9 | 1.24× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $92.49 | 5.0% | 18 | 14.3 | 1.26× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $91.77 | 5.0% | 26 | 14.5 | 1.79× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $91.11 | 5.0% | 13 | 14.7 | 0.88× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $89.02 | 5.2% | 2 | 15.4 | 0.13× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $84.38 | 5.4% | 19 | 17.0 | 1.12× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $78.07 | 5.7% | 5 | 19.4 | 0.26× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $74.76 | 5.8% | 9 | 20.7 | 0.43× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $67.61 | 6.1% | 20 | 24.0 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $65.68 | 6.2% | 28 | 25.0 | 1.12× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $60.93 | 6.3% | 22 | 27.4 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $53.49 | 6.3% | 31 | 31.3 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $44.84 | 6.0% | 40 | 35.6 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $40.17 | 5.7% | 40 | 37.4 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $33.57 | 4.9% | 16 | 38.8 | 0.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $32.87 | 4.8% | 31 | 38.8 | 0.80× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=chromehearts)

[AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [USE CODE FBB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/USE%20CODE%20FBB) $89.99 $30.88 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water) [Keep™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Keep%E2%84%A2) $89.99 $30.08 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) [Keep™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Keep%E2%84%A2) $89.99 $67.60 0.75x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) [Keep™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Keep%E2%84%A2) $89.99 $78.17 0.87x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) [burning](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/burning) $89.99 $40.02 0.44x 2026-11-11 11:11 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) [smagomaev](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/smagomaev) $89.99 $40.22 0.45x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [Солодкий Персик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BA) $89.99 $89.03 0.99x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [Солодкий Персик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BA) $89.99 $32.50 0.36x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Солодкий Персик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BA) $89.99 $60.41 0.67x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Панч](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%87) $89.99 $60.72 0.67x 2026-11-11 07:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $89.99 | 73.30% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $89.99 | 73.13% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $89.99 | 73.12% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $89.99 | 73.40% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $89.99 | 73.72% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $89.99 | 73.73% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $89.99 | 73.71% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $89.99 | 73.77% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $89.99 | 73.84% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $89.99 | 74.25% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $89.99 | 74.22% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $89.99 | 74.21% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $89.99 | 74.24% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $89.99 | 74.24% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $89.99 | 74.24% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.25% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.22% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.23% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.24% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.24% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $89.99 | 74.18% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $89.99 | 74.30% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $89.99 | 74.63% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $89.99 | 74.64% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $89.99 | 74.55% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $89.99 | 74.25% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $89.99 | 74.34% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $89.99 | 74.33% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $89.99 | 74.34% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $89.99 | 74.31% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 30.0% sunny 0.0% covert 21.1% extraordinary 4.4% restricted 16.6% gold 3.8% Mil Spec Grade 4.8% mil spec 9.6% red 9.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.30 on average: an expected loss of $26.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt