---
title: "Засекреченное case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Засекреченное ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.33% from 153 items with odds, observed 65.33% over 10.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Засекреченное](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Засекреченное

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 64.33% · EV $4.37 from 153 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.33% · 10.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 62.24% ±9.97 1,278 openings

7 days · 65.13% ±3.49 8,843 openings

30 days · 65.33% ±3.20 10.5K openings

since tracking started · 65.33% ±3.20 10.5K openings

51.5% 62.3% 73.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=24h) | 1,278 | 62.24% ±9.97 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=7d) | 8,843 | 65.13% ±3.49 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified) | 10.5K | 65.33% ±3.20 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified?window=all) | 10.5K | 65.33% ±3.20 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 153 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 99,999 | $3,271 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 99,988 | $1,149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99,986 | $1,074 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 99,973 | $865 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 99,838 | $478 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 99,502 | $329 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 98,541 | $229 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 97,971 | $205 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 97,816 | $200 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97,733 | $197 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 97,141 | $182 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97,012 | $179 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 96,029 | $163 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 95,839 | $160 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 93,245 | $135 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92,455 | $130 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 91,996 | $127 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91,060 | $122 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 84,706 | $99.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82,352 | $93.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 81,668 | $92.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 79,035 | $87.48 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 68,004 | $72.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63,519 | $67.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46,926 | $53.93 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 38,396 | $47.99 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 35,437 | $46.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,708 | $44.84 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 32,593 | $44.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 26,785 | $40.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 18,659 | $34.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 17,898 | $33.79 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 13,193 | $29.95 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,921 | $27.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 1 in 10,865 | $27.82 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 7,961 | $24.80 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.28× |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-field-tested) | 1 in 7,616 | $24.40 | 0.1% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.64× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 7,332 | $24.07 | 0.1% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.51× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 7,277 | $24.00 | 0.1% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.78× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,260 | $23.98 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 6,925 | $23.58 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 6,854 | $23.49 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 6,465 | $23.00 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 5,849 | $22.19 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 5,253 | $21.36 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.51× |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) | 1 in 5,043 | $21.05 | 0.1% | 8 | 2.1 | 3.86× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 4,307 | $19.91 | 0.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.24× |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,231 | $19.79 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 4,137 | $19.63 | 0.1% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.37× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 4,098 | $19.57 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,972 | $19.36 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 3,908 | $19.25 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,769 | $19.00 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 3,763 | $18.99 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,702 | $18.89 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,569 | $18.65 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 3,417 | $18.37 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 3,074 | $17.70 | 0.1% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 2,987 | $17.53 | 0.1% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 2,919 | $17.39 | 0.1% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.12× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 2,547 | $16.58 | 0.1% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 2,513 | $16.51 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 2,395 | $16.23 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 2,353 | $16.13 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 2,269 | $15.93 | 0.2% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.52× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) | 1 in 2,243 | $15.87 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 2,120 | $15.56 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,080 | $15.46 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,909 | $15.01 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 1,803 | $14.72 | 0.2% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Falak (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-falak-well-worn) | 1 in 1,676 | $14.35 | 0.2% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.64× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 1,184 | $12.73 | 0.2% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,122 | $12.50 | 0.3% | 1 | 9.3 | 0.11× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,095 | $12.40 | 0.3% | 5 | 9.5 | 0.52× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,058 | $12.25 | 0.3% | 4 | 9.9 | 0.40× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,058 | $12.25 | 0.3% | 7 | 9.9 | 0.71× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,054 | $12.23 | 0.3% | 15 | 9.9 | 1.51× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 1,049 | $12.21 | 0.3% | 16 | 10.0 | 1.60× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 1,002 | $12.02 | 0.3% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 998 | $12.01 | 0.3% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 989 | $11.97 | 0.3% | 8 | 10.6 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 985 | $11.95 | 0.3% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 972 | $11.90 | 0.3% | 14 | 10.8 | 1.30× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 957 | $11.83 | 0.3% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.82× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 949 | $11.80 | 0.3% | 8 | 11.0 | 0.73× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) | 1 in 923 | $11.69 | 0.3% | 9 | 11.3 | 0.79× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 911 | $11.63 | 0.3% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 886 | $11.52 | 0.3% | 7 | 11.8 | 0.59× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 875 | $11.47 | 0.3% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 842 | $11.32 | 0.3% | 14 | 12.4 | 1.13× |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-field-tested) | 1 in 824 | $11.24 | 0.3% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.10× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 820 | $11.22 | 0.3% | 19 | 12.8 | 1.49× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 792 | $11.08 | 0.3% | 30 | 13.2 | 2.27× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 608 | $10.11 | 0.4% | 13 | 17.2 | 0.76× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 573 | $9.91 | 0.4% | 21 | 18.2 | 1.15× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 569 | $9.89 | 0.4% | 23 | 18.4 | 1.25× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 550 | $9.77 | 0.4% | 10 | 19.0 | 0.53× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 528 | $9.63 | 0.4% | 16 | 19.8 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 510 | $9.52 | 0.4% | 24 | 20.5 | 1.17× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 472 | $9.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 22.2 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 451 | $9.12 | 0.5% | 24 | 23.2 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 420 | $8.90 | 0.5% | 23 | 24.9 | 0.92× |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 411 | $8.83 | 0.5% | 38 | 25.4 | 1.49× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $8.77 | 0.5% | 19 | 25.9 | 0.73× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 374 | $8.54 | 0.5% | 33 | 28.0 | 1.18× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 359 | $8.42 | 0.5% | 33 | 29.1 | 1.13× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 305 | $7.95 | 0.6% | 28 | 34.2 | 0.82× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 295 | $7.85 | 0.6% | 46 | 35.5 | 1.30× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 179 | $6.58 | 0.8% | 54 | 58.3 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $6.49 | 0.9% | 63 | 60.6 | 1.04× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $6.44 | 0.9% | 61 | 61.8 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $6.42 | 0.9% | 78 | 62.4 | 1.25× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $6.32 | 0.9% | 17 | 65.2 | 0.26× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $6.15 | 0.9% | 58 | 70.4 | 0.82× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $6.09 | 1.0% | 71 | 72.2 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $5.99 | 1.0% | 69 | 75.6 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $5.74 | 1.1% | 99 | 85.0 | 1.16× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $5.68 | 1.1% | 113 | 87.5 | 1.29× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $5.67 | 1.1% | 80 | 87.5 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $5.46 | 1.2% | 90 | 97.2 | 0.93× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $5.46 | 1.2% | 96 | 97.0 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $5.45 | 1.2% | 90 | 97.5 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $5.18 | 1.3% | 12 | 111.7 | 0.11× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $5.13 | 1.3% | 156 | 114.9 | 1.36× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $5.11 | 1.3% | 100 | 115.8 | 0.86× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $5.10 | 1.3% | 42 | 116.6 | 0.36× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $4.72 | 1.5% | 42 | 142.6 | 0.29× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $4.55 | 1.6% | 145 | 156.6 | 0.93× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $4.28 | 1.7% | 191 | 183.1 | 1.04× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $4.26 | 1.7% | 216 | 185.2 | 1.17× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $4.23 | 1.7% | 214 | 188.0 | 1.14× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $4.17 | 1.8% | 180 | 195.5 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $4.12 | 1.8% | 190 | 200.9 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $4.04 | 1.9% | 210 | 211.3 | 0.99× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $3.98 | 1.9% | 91 | 219.4 | 0.41× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $3.72 | 2.1% | 15 | 258.8 | 0.06× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.70 | 2.1% | 223 | 261.6 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $3.63 | 2.2% | 272 | 273.7 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $3.58 | 2.2% | 369 | 283.1 | 1.30× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $3.53 | 2.3% | 321 | 291.3 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $3.53 | 2.2% | 242 | 291.0 | 0.83× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $3.46 | 2.3% | 298 | 304.8 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $3.43 | 2.3% | 269 | 311.9 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.41 | 2.4% | 279 | 315.3 | 0.88× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.40 | 2.4% | 271 | 318.4 | 0.85× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $3.37 | 2.4% | 291 | 325.0 | 0.90× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $3.36 | 2.4% | 285 | 326.6 | 0.87× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $3.22 | 2.5% | 340 | 360.4 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.09 | 2.7% | 347 | 394.1 | 0.88× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.08 | 2.7% | 372 | 395.8 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.91 | 2.9% | 432 | 447.5 | 0.97× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $2.61 | 3.2% | 219 | 555.2 | 0.39× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $2.11 | 3.7% | 367 | 801.5 | 0.46× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $6.79 $479 70.53x 2026-11-04 19:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=classified)

[MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) [deed](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/deed) $6.79 $8.77 1.29x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [kurok.11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kurok.11) $6.79 $3.00 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) [kurok.11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kurok.11) $6.79 $4.56 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $6.79 $3.58 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [♕FRiP♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%99%95FRiP%E2%99%95) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) [КИБЕРСПИРТ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9A%D0%98%D0%91%D0%95%D0%A0%D0%A1%D0%9F%D0%98%D0%A0%D0%A2) $6.79 $2.61 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $6.79 $3.66 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $6.79 $7.07 1.04x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 64.33% | 153 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.19% | 153 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.18% | 154 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.43% | 153 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 64.70% | 153 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.71% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.69% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.74% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.80% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 65.15% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 65.14% | 153 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 65.12% | 153 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.15% | 153 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.17% | 153 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.16% | 153 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.16% | 153 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.15% | 153 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.15% | 153 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.17% | 153 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.15% | 153 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.10% | 153 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.20% | 153 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 65.50% | 153 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 65.51% | 153 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.42% | 153 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.17% | 152 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.25% | 153 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.24% | 153 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 65.25% | 153 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $6.79 | 65.22% | 153 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 34.9% Classified 0.1% pink 25.5% rare 1.0% #d32ee6 5.2% uncommon 0.9% Legendary 30.4% #d32ce6 2.1% best hit $479 (70.53x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.33 on average: an expected loss of $35.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt