--- title: "ClaudioBola case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ClaudioBola ($2.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 65.07% from 6 items with odds, observed 121.91% over 1,060 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola rendered: 2026-11-11T20:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [ClaudioBola](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · ClaudioBola A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=all) Price · $2.09 Advertised RTP · 65.07% · EV $1.36 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 121.91% · 1,060 openings, odds method Variance · 8.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 141.32% ±27.93 434 openings 7 days · 122.67% ±18.64 950 openings 30 days · 121.91% ±17.60 1,060 openings since tracking started · 121.91% ±17.60 1,060 openings 64.0% 117.0% 170.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 65.27% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (104.31% – 139.51%, 1,060 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=24h) | 434 | 141.32% ±27.9 | +5.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=7d) | 950 | 122.67% ±18.6 | +6.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola) | 1,060 | 121.91% ±17.6 | +6.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/claudiobola?window=all) | 1,060 | 121.91% ±17.6 | +6.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,060 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 9,837 | $434 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 7,486 | $159 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,740 | $93.13 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,076 | $70.73 | 2.5% | 6 | 0.5 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 10.5% | $10.61 | 81.7% | 97 | 110.9 | 0.87× | | [Charm \| Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) | 89.4% | $0.14 | 9.2% | 860 | 948.0 | 0.91× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=claudiobola) [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $10.45 5.00x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [Charm | Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $2.09 $0.17 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.09 | 65.07% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.09 | 64.90% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.09 | 64.75% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.09 | 64.75% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.09 | 64.97% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.09 | 65.29% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.09 | 65.28% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.09 | 65.27% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.09 | 65.32% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.09 | 65.37% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.09 | 65.77% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.09 | 65.73% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.09 | 65.73% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.09 | 65.72% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.09 | 65.76% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.09 | 65.70% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.75% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.73% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.74% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.72% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.75% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 65.70% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.09 | 65.76% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.09 | 66.07% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.09 | 66.07% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.09 | 65.99% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.09 | 65.73% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.09 | 65.83% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.09 | 65.84% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.09 | 65.85% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% restricted 10.5% #4b69ff 89.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.07 on average: an expected loss of $34.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt