--- title: "Clutch case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clutch case ($13.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.21% from 7 items with odds, observed 24.56% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Clutch case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Clutch case A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=all) Price · $13.99 Advertised RTP · 73.21% · EV $10.24 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 24.56% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 170.0% 340.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=24h) | 1 | 25.38% ±314.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=7d) | 10 | 24.86% ±104.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch) | 12 | 24.56% ±95.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/clutch?window=all) | 12 | 24.56% ±95.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,923 | $1,885 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 628 | $150 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 11.3% | $30.45 | 33.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 12.8% | $28.62 | 35.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 26.1% | $3.72 | 9.5% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 25.3% | $3.58 | 8.8% | 6 | 3.0 | 1.98× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 24.3% | $3.41 | 8.1% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.37× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=clutch) [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [131216](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/131216) $13.99 $3.55 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC [AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $13.99 $3.40 0.24x 2026-11-10 12:12 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $13.99 $3.37 0.24x 2026-11-10 12:11 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $13.99 $3.37 0.24x 2026-11-10 12:11 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $13.99 $3.37 0.24x 2026-11-10 12:01 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $13.99 $3.37 0.24x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Buddha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Buddha) $13.99 $3.70 0.26x 2026-11-09 22:12 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [Bebrik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bebrik) $13.99 $3.47 0.25x 2026-11-07 18:36 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [camry3.5t](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/camry3.5t) $13.99 $3.53 0.25x 2026-11-07 14:32 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [simply lovely](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/simply%20lovely) $13.99 $3.65 0.26x 2026-11-05 16:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $13.99 | 73.21% | 7 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.05% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.03% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.32% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $13.99 | 73.63% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $13.99 | 73.63% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $13.99 | 73.61% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $13.99 | 73.67% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $13.99 | 73.75% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $13.99 | 74.15% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $13.99 | 74.12% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $13.99 | 74.12% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.15% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.16% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.15% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.15% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.13% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.13% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.15% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.14% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.08% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.20% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $13.99 | 74.52% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $13.99 | 74.56% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.47% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.17% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.24% | 7 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.25% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $13.99 | 74.25% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $13.99 | 74.22% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 11.3% #ffd700 0.2% Ancient 12.8% #d32ee6 26.1% classified 49.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.21 on average: an expected loss of $26.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt