---
title: "Кофейный перерыв case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Кофейный перерыв ($2.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.49% from 28 items with odds, observed 80.17% over 865 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Кофейный перерыв](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Кофейный перерыв

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 76.49% · EV $2.06 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.17% · 865 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 39.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87 openings · below min

7 days · 80.25% ±5.45 802 openings

30 days · 80.17% ±5.26 865 openings

since tracking started · 80.17% ±5.26 865 openings

63.0% 79.5% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=24h) | 87 | 79.38% ±15.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=7d) | 802 | 80.25% ±5.45 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak) | 865 | 80.17% ±5.26 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/coffeebreak?window=all) | 865 | 80.17% ±5.26 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 875 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-field-tested) | 1 in 9,753 | $95.04 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 9,372 | $68.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 9,330 | $67.14 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 8,608 | $51.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 7,571 | $40.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 6,570 | $34.62 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,205 | $28.62 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,006 | $27.87 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,428 | $19.00 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,763 | $16.58 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 1,743 | $16.51 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 1,308 | $14.72 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 791 | $12.16 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.81× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 615 | $11.08 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.81× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 323 | $8.77 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 187 | $7.19 | 1.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $4.28 | 4.3% | 21 | 18.1 | 1.16× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $3.53 | 5.6% | 40 | 28.4 | 1.41× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $2.93 | 6.9% | 38 | 42.2 | 0.90× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $2.66 | 7.5% | 65 | 50.7 | 1.28× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.59 | 7.6% | 63 | 53.1 | 1.19× |
| [Nova \| Smart Gun (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.58 | 7.7% | 62 | 53.5 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $1.90 | 8.9% | 99 | 84.6 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 10.9% | $1.71 | 9.0% | 70 | 95.2 | 0.74× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 11.4% | $1.62 | 9.0% | 94 | 100.0 | 0.94× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-field-tested) | 12.0% | $1.53 | 8.9% | 95 | 105.3 | 0.90× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 12.3% | $1.48 | 8.8% | 68 | 107.5 | 0.63× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) | 14.1% | $0.95 | 6.5% | 107 | 123.5 | 0.87× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=coffeebreak)

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.62 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.08 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.62 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.08 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[USP-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $2.69 1.00x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-minimal-wear) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $3.66 1.36x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-field-tested) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $2.59 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.69 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.08 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [Aleky :D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Aleky%20%3AD) $2.69 $1.62 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 76.49% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.41% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.33% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.66% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.96% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.98% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.95% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.03% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.03% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 77.47% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 77.47% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.51% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.57% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.58% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.53% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.50% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 77.89% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 77.94% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.83% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.63% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.60% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 77.65% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.69 | 77.68% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 1.1% Legendary 5.4% #d32ee6 0.1% Classified 0.1% pink 0.1% #8847ff 28.3% violet 5.8% restricted 49.5% Mythical 9.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.49 on average: an expected loss of $23.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt