---
title: "Колосс Родосский case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Колосс Родосский ($679.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.21% from 21 items with odds, observed 70.65% over 77 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Колосс Родосский](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Колосс Родосский

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=all)

Price · $679.00

Advertised RTP · 67.21% · EV $456.35 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.65% · 77 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 70 openings · below min

30 days · 77 openings · below min

since tracking started · 77 openings · below min

38.0% 60.7% 83.5%

**Small sample.** 77 openings and 28.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=24h) | 9 | 60.63% ±22.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=7d) | 70 | 71.40% ±8.34 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes) | 77 | 70.65% ±8.00 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/colossusofrhodes?window=all) | 77 | 70.65% ±8.00 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 77 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 31,114 | $7,601 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 7,632 | $4,552 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,207 | $2,978 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,944 | $2,852 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 610 | $1,927 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $1,152 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $1,141 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 107 | $1,061 | 2.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $946 | 2.7% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $858 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $796 | 3.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $729 | 4.3% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $706 | 4.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.89× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $661 | 5.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $635 | 5.4% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $519 | 7.4% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $464 | 8.8% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $456 | 9.0% | 3 | 6.9 | 0.43× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 10.6% | $425 | 9.9% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 18.4% | $328 | 13.2% | 6 | 14.2 | 0.42× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 26.1% | $270 | 15.4% | 8 | 20.1 | 0.40× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $2,792 4.11x 2026-11-07 03:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $1,466 2.16x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $1,116 1.64x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $1,002 1.48x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $1,002 1.48x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $1,002 1.48x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [ihuntnoobs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ihuntnoobs) $679 $806 1.19x 2026-11-04 20:46 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [Tolegen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Tolegen) $679 $726 1.07x 2026-11-06 18:02 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $725 1.07x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Fomynha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fomynha) $679 $725 1.07x 2026-11-06 16:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=colossusofrhodes)

[★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $522 0.77x 2026-11-11 03:26 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $213 0.31x 2026-11-11 02:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $333 0.49x 2026-11-11 02:33 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $460 0.68x 2026-11-11 02:31 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $380 0.56x 2026-11-11 02:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $278 0.41x 2026-11-11 01:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $333 0.49x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $664 0.98x 2026-11-11 01:38 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $522 0.77x 2026-11-11 01:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) [SAN4EZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SAN4EZ) $679 $341 0.50x 2026-11-09 16:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $679 | 67.21% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $679 | 67.04% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $679 | 66.89% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $679 | 66.87% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $679 | 67.13% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $679 | 67.42% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $679 | 67.43% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $679 | 67.41% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $679 | 67.47% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $679 | 67.53% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $679 | 67.88% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $679 | 67.87% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 67.88% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $679 | 67.89% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 67.84% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $679 | 67.95% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $679 | 68.26% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $679 | 68.27% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $679 | 68.18% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $679 | 67.99% | 22 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $679 | 67.98% | 22 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $679 | 67.99% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 36.5% contraband 0.0% classified 19.4% extraordinary 28.9% restricted 11.3% gold 3.9% best hit $2,792 (4.11x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.21 on average: an expected loss of $32.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt