---
title: "CS20 Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CS20 Case ($0.93) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.75% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.31% over 1,367 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CS20 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CS20 Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=all)

Price · $0.93

Advertised RTP · 76.75% · EV $0.71 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.31% · 1,367 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 86.94% ±18.32 1,279 openings

30 days · 85.31% ±17.72 1,367 openings

since tracking started · 85.31% ±17.72 1,367 openings

-0.5% 68.5% 137.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=24h) | 69 | 61.15% ±75.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=7d) | 1,279 | 86.94% ±18.3 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20) | 1,367 | 85.31% ±17.7 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs20?window=all) | 1,367 | 85.31% ±17.7 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,367 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,985 | $245 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 9,803 | $104 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 9,653 | $85.70 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,906 | $56.89 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 5,345 | $29.56 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $6.09 | 7.4% | 25 | 11.9 | 2.11× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $4.23 | 13.0% | 50 | 30.1 | 1.66× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.70 | 15.7% | 41 | 41.4 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 11.2% | $0.53 | 8.3% | 161 | 152.5 | 1.06× |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 11.1% | $0.52 | 8.1% | 198 | 152.2 | 1.30× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 10.2% | $0.46 | 6.6% | 185 | 139.6 | 1.33× |
| [M249 \| Aztec (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.45 | 6.2% | 154 | 135.6 | 1.14× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.42 | 5.6% | 176 | 129.5 | 1.36× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.38 | 4.7% | 49 | 120.5 | 0.41× |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.36 | 4.3% | 73 | 115.8 | 0.63× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.36 | 4.2% | 62 | 114.6 | 0.54× |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.36 | 4.1% | 25 | 113.5 | 0.22× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Assault (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.34 | 3.8% | 5 | 109.0 | 0.05× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=cs20)

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) [MR\_pResidenT(business\_)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MR_pResidenT%28business_%29) $0.93 $0.36 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.52 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.38 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.52 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.45 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.47 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.38 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.47 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $0.93 $0.36 0.38x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) [vartak](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/vartak) $0.93 $0.47 0.51x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.93 | 76.75% | 18 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.57% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.62% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.74% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.93 | 77.16% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.15% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.15% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.29% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.31% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.93 | 77.78% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.93 | 77.77% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.93 | 77.73% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.74% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.75% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.70% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.70% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.64% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.74% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.69% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.79% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.71% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.74% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.93 | 78.21% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.93 | 78.18% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.93 | 78.03% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.68% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.84% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.85% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.93 | 77.80% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.93 | 77.81% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% covert knife 0.0% pink 0.9% classified 5.2% Restricted 11.2% restricted 30.8% violet 9.9% mil spec 41.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.75 on average: an expected loss of $23.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt