---
title: "CyberLeek case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CyberLeek ($0.11) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 77.44% from 28 items with odds, observed 91.41% over 10.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CyberLeek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CyberLeek

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=all)

Price · $0.11

Advertised RTP · 77.44% · EV $0.09 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.41% · 10.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.29% ±5.19 969 openings

7 days · 89.85% ±1.87 7,460 openings

30 days · 91.41% ±1.59 10.4K openings

since tracking started · 91.41% ±1.59 10.4K openings

76.5% 85.0% 93.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 78.27% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (89.82% – 93.00%, 10,362 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=24h) | 969 | 85.29% ±5.19 | +3.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=7d) | 7,460 | 89.85% ±1.87 | +12.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek) | 10.4K | 91.41% ±1.59 | +16.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cyberleek?window=all) | 10.4K | 91.41% ±1.59 | +16.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,772 | $3.94 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 9,675 | $3.49 | 0.4% | 5 | 1.1 | 4.66× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 9,583 | $3.20 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,180 | $2.52 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 7,755 | $1.70 | 0.3% | 5 | 1.3 | 3.73× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 7,199 | $1.54 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.77× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 6,759 | $1.44 | 0.3% | 8 | 1.5 | 5.21× |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-field-tested) | 1 in 3,840 | $0.96 | 0.3% | 15 | 2.7 | 5.55× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-field-tested) | 1 in 3,053 | $0.85 | 0.3% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) | 1 in 2,966 | $0.84 | 0.3% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.71× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-field-tested) | 1 in 2,653 | $0.80 | 0.4% | 12 | 3.9 | 3.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 757 | $0.48 | 0.7% | 38 | 13.7 | 2.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 582 | $0.44 | 0.9% | 26 | 17.8 | 1.46× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 339 | $0.36 | 1.2% | 75 | 30.6 | 2.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Operative (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-operative-field-tested) | 1 in 271 | $0.33 | 1.4% | 51 | 38.3 | 1.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $0.23 | 2.8% | 193 | 109.9 | 1.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $0.21 | 3.1% | 45 | 132.1 | 0.34× |
| [MP9 \| Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-cobalt-paisley-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.15 | 5.4% | 374 | 325.8 | 1.15× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.14 | 5.6% | 87 | 347.0 | 0.25× |
| [P90 \| Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.13 | 6.2% | 530 | 427.8 | 1.24× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.11 | 7.5% | 825 | 605.3 | 1.36× |
| [Charm \| Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) | 1 in 12 | $0.09 | 8.6% | 914 | 862.1 | 1.06× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.08 | 9.1% | 400 | 1043.5 | 0.38× |
| [M4A4 \| Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.08 | 9.0% | 1,058 | 1035.8 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) | 10.9% | $0.07 | 9.2% | 42 | 1129.2 | 0.04× |
| [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) | 11.5% | $0.07 | 9.2% | 1,003 | 1194.4 | 0.84× |
| [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) | 14.5% | $0.05 | 8.4% | 1,574 | 1510.3 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-field-tested) | 14.8% | $0.05 | 8.0% | 0 | 1540.2 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=cyberleek)

[USP-S | PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) [Dudu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dudu) $0.11 $0.14 1.29x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC

[MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) [McQueen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/McQueen) $0.11 $0.05 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC

[MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) [McQueen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/McQueen) $0.11 $0.05 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC

[Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) [McQueen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/McQueen) $0.11 $0.07 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC

[MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.07 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[Charm | Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.09 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.07 0.63x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.05 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.09 0.78x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) [$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24T) $0.11 $0.07 0.65x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.11 | 77.44% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.11 | 77.24% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.11 | 77.16% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.11 | 77.24% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.11 | 77.40% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.11 | 77.78% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.11 | 77.85% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.11 | 77.69% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.11 | 77.81% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.11 | 77.88% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.11 | 78.44% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.11 | 78.31% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.11 | 78.29% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.11 | 78.31% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.11 | 78.37% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.11 | 78.35% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.37% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.34% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.31% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.44% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.41% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.11 | 78.18% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.11 | 78.44% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.11 | 78.81% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.11 | 78.80% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.11 | 78.68% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.11 | 78.38% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.11 | 78.46% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.11 | 78.47% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.11 | 78.48% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 14.5% Legendary 0.0% Classified 0.0% classified 0.0% violet 0.0% restricted 0.2% #8847ff 0.4% #4b69ff 13.1% blue 20.4% mil spec 1.1% milspec 24.0% Rare 11.5% Uncommon 14.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.44 on average: an expected loss of $22.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt