---
title: "CZ75-Auto case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CZ75-Auto ($2.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.80% from 24 items with odds, observed 78.22% over 73 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CZ75-Auto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CZ75-Auto

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=all)

Price · $2.09

Advertised RTP · 73.80% · EV $1.54 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.22% · 73 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 34.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 65 openings · below min

30 days · 73 openings · below min

since tracking started · 73 openings · below min

67.0% 99.3% 131.5%

**Small sample.** 73 openings and 24.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=24h) | 10 | 103.16% ±27.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=7d) | 65 | 79.78% ±11.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75) | 73 | 78.22% ±10.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cz75?window=all) | 73 | 78.22% ±10.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 73 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159,342 | $82.05 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) | 1 in 149,002 | $74.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 19,988 | $24.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 4,479 | $14.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 2,254 | $11.63 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $6.92 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 203 | $5.05 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $4.16 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $4.04 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $3.83 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Green Plaid (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-green-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $3.08 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $2.76 | 4.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.71× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $2.76 | 4.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.14× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Indigo (Well-Worn) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $2.11 | 6.0% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.09 | 6.0% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $2.03 | 6.2% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.97 | 6.4% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1.77 | 7.0% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.71 | 7.2% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.84× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.46 | 7.9% | 6 | 6.1 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 10.8% | $1.18 | 8.3% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 11.8% | $1.07 | 8.2% | 11 | 8.6 | 1.28× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-field-tested) | 13.8% | $0.81 | 7.2% | 6 | 10.0 | 0.60× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.76 | 6.9% | 0 | 10.2 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=cz75)

[CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $1.18 0.56x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $0.80 0.38x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $1.18 0.56x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $3.84 1.84x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $1.46 0.70x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $1.02 0.49x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.09 $6.92 3.31x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) [Starskr1m✔](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Starskr1m%E2%9C%94) $2.09 $1.21 0.58x 2026-11-10 23:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) [munmahi4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/munmahi4) $2.09 $2.05 0.98x 2026-11-10 21:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) [Маленький Туркмеджон](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%BE%D0%BD) $2.09 $1.90 0.91x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.09 | 73.80% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.46% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.53% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.88% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.09 | 74.23% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.14% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.16% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.13% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.28% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.09 | 74.71% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.09 | 74.69% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.09 | 74.62% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.69% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.75% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.69% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.73% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.73% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.69% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.72% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.68% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.63% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.78% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.09 | 75.11% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.09 | 75.14% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.96% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.78% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.85% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.78% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.09 | 74.81% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.09 | 74.81% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 8.3% covert 0.0% Classified 0.0% Legendary 0.0% #8847ff 14.4% #4b69ff 7.9% Restricted 0.8% classified 0.9% uncommon 1.1% Consumer Grade 1.8% #777777 4.4% restricted 21.7% Common 4.7% #87c7ff 6.1% Rare 13.8% grey 14.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.80 on average: an expected loss of $26.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt