---
title: "CS2: Danger Zone case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CS2: Danger Zone ($13.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.87% from 14 items with odds, observed 75.84% over 6,979 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CS2: Danger Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CS2: Danger Zone

A case on csgo.net (Limited edition), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=all)

Price · $13.99

Advertised RTP · 73.87% · EV $10.33 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.84% · 6,979 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73.24% ±7.24 979 openings

7 days · 76.32% ±2.63 6,067 openings

30 days · 75.84% ±2.43 6,979 openings

since tracking started · 75.84% ±2.43 6,979 openings

65.5% 73.3% 81.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=24h) | 979 | 73.24% ±7.24 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=7d) | 6,067 | 76.32% ±2.63 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2) | 6,979 | 75.84% ±2.43 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dangerzone-2?window=all) | 6,979 | 75.84% ±2.43 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,986 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 493 | $199 | 3.9% | 14 | 14.2 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 487 | $164 | 3.3% | 11 | 14.3 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-well-worn) | 1 in 420 | $85.35 | 2.0% | 7 | 16.6 | 0.42× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 329 | $60.93 | 1.8% | 13 | 21.2 | 0.61× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $38.24 | 2.2% | 21 | 42.3 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $24.00 | 4.0% | 63 | 119.5 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $17.70 | 6.1% | 103 | 249.4 | 0.41× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $17.39 | 6.3% | 171 | 260.3 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $13.69 | 8.6% | 351 | 451.1 | 0.78× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $11.94 | 10.0% | 424 | 602.5 | 0.70× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 11.8% | $10.15 | 11.6% | 985 | 825.0 | 1.19× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 16.1% | $8.42 | 13.1% | 1,517 | 1124.4 | 1.35× |
| [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 20.1% | $7.15 | 13.9% | 2,770 | 1401.5 | 1.98× |
| [Nova \| Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-field-tested) | 26.4% | $5.23 | 13.4% | 165 | 1843.5 | 0.09× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=dangerzone-2)

[AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [deed](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/deed) $13.99 $13.59 0.97x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Charm | Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) [piw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/piw) $13.99 $7.32 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Nova | Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-field-tested) [piw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/piw) $13.99 $5.22 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Charm | Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) [piw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/piw) $13.99 $7.32 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $13.99 $17.33 1.24x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $13.99 $10.11 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $13.99 $9.44 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $13.99 $9.44 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[Charm | Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $13.99 $7.13 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Daredevil) $13.99 $11.67 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $13.99 | 73.87% | 14 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.71% | 14 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.71% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.97% | 14 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $13.99 | 74.30% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.32% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.28% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.34% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.41% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $13.99 | 74.80% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $13.99 | 74.79% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.84% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.84% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.80% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.77% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.87% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $13.99 | 75.20% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $13.99 | 75.22% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $13.99 | 75.14% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.85% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.93% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.90% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $13.99 | 74.91% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $13.99 | 74.89% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% red 0.4% classified 25.1% #eb4b4b 26.5% restricted 20.4% Restricted 26.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.87 on average: an expected loss of $26.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt