--- title: "Darkness mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Darkness mining ($1.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.57% from 7 items with odds, observed 210.58% over 13.5K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Darkness mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Darkness mining A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=all) Price · $1.49 Advertised RTP · 66.57% · EV $0.99 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 210.58% · 13.5K openings, odds method Variance · 103.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 431 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2,006 openings · below min 7 days · 173.36% ±20.56 9,675 openings 30 days · 210.58% ±17.47 13.5K openings since tracking started · 210.58% ±17.47 13.5K openings 66.0% 147.3% 228.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.34% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (193.12% – 228.05%, 13,452 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=24h) | 2,006 | 127.50% ±45.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=7d) | 9,675 | 173.36% ±20.6 | +10.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining) | 13.5K | 210.58% ±17.5 | +16.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/darknessmining?window=all) | 13.5K | 210.58% ±17.5 | +16.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.5K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 8,365 | $636 | 7.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 7,705 | $553 | 7.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 7,000 | $489 | 7.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 5,925 | $418 | 7.1% | 11 | 2.3 | 4.84× | | [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 568 | $145 | 25.7% | 86 | 23.7 | 3.63× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 329 | $119 | 36.6% | 134 | 40.8 | 3.28× | | [Charm \| Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) | 99.5% | $0.09 | 8.7% | 13,202 | 13380.9 | 0.99× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Black Laminate knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate) [GLADIATOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GLADIATOR) $1.49 $622 417.3x 2026-11-03 00:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1.49 $618 415.0x 2026-11-04 01:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $601 403.1x 2026-11-03 06:11 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) [max\_lemos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/max_lemos) $1.49 $591 397.0x 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) [BIKS 2º](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BIKS%202%C2%BA) $1.49 $591 396.6x 2026-11-06 18:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $590 395.9x 2026-11-03 00:30 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $1.49 $583 391.3x 2026-11-08 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1.49 $538 361.2x 2026-11-04 01:28 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [BaardZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BaardZ) $1.49 $528 354.6x 2026-11-09 04:34 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1.49 $520 349.2x 2026-11-04 01:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=darknessmining) [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Guy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-guy) [Bat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bat) $1.49 $0.09 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.49 | 66.57% | 7 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.43% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.41% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.67% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.49 | 66.96% | 7 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.96% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.95% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.01% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.10% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.49 | 67.42% | 7 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.49 | 67.41% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 7 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.41% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.42% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 7 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.37% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.47% | 7 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.49 | 67.81% | 7 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.49 | 67.79% | 7 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.71% | 7 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 7 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.54% | 7 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.55% | 7 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.49 | 67.56% | 7 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.49 | 67.53% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.2% sunny 0.3% #4b69ff 99.5% best hit $622 (417.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.57 on average: an expected loss of $33.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt