---
title: "Desert Eagle case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Desert Eagle ($2.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.38% from 26 items with odds, observed 82.71% over 2,783 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Desert Eagle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Desert Eagle

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=all)

Price · $2.49

Advertised RTP · 74.38% · EV $1.85 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.71% · 2,783 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.61% ±10.77 305 openings

7 days · 83.36% ±4.27 2,312 openings

30 days · 82.71% ±3.91 2,783 openings

since tracking started · 82.71% ±3.91 2,783 openings

68.0% 79.5% 91.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 75.24% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.80% – 86.62%, 2,783 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=24h) | 305 | 79.61% ±10.8 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=7d) | 2,312 | 83.36% ±4.27 | +3.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle) | 2,783 | 82.71% ±3.91 | +3.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/deagle?window=all) | 2,783 | 82.71% ±3.91 | +3.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,793 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149,857 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 142,226 | $160 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 110,259 | $127 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 36,680 | $71.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31,429 | $67.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 26,589 | $63.34 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $41.54 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 6,571 | $38.24 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 3,233 | $29.95 | 0.5% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 905 | $19.36 | 1.2% | 7 | 3.1 | 2.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 903 | $19.35 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 579 | $16.58 | 1.5% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.45× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 273 | $12.73 | 2.5% | 15 | 10.2 | 1.46× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $12.17 | 2.7% | 0 | 11.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 230 | $11.98 | 2.8% | 0 | 12.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $10.15 | 3.8% | 37 | 19.2 | 1.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $6.09 | 8.3% | 132 | 70.1 | 1.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $5.18 | 10.0% | 23 | 99.9 | 0.23× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 12.2% | $1.71 | 11.3% | 552 | 340.5 | 1.62× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) | 12.2% | $1.67 | 11.0% | 0 | 341.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-field-tested) | 12.0% | $1.39 | 9.0% | 259 | 335.4 | 0.77× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 11.7% | $1.26 | 8.0% | 0 | 326.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 11.4% | $1.16 | 7.1% | 506 | 317.1 | 1.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 11.2% | $1.13 | 6.9% | 458 | 313.9 | 1.46× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 11.1% | $1.10 | 6.6% | 457 | 309.5 | 1.48× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.88 | 4.6% | 222 | 272.5 | 0.81× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=deagle)

[Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) [ϟ smaker ϟ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%CF%9F%20smaker%20%CF%9F) $2.49 $6.06 2.43x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $2.49 $0.90 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.09 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.07 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.07 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.09 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.70 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.07 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.70 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [❤.......❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4.......%E2%9D%A4) $2.49 $1.20 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.49 | 74.38% | 26 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.16% | 26 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.20% | 26 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.49 | 74.48% | 26 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.49 | 74.78% | 26 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.87% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.76% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.89% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.49 | 74.85% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.49 | 75.39% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.49 | 75.32% | 26 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.49 | 75.23% | 26 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.32% | 26 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.37% | 26 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.49 | 75.28% | 26 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.31% | 26 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.32% | 26 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.24% | 26 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.32% | 26 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.39% | 26 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 75.34% | 26 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.42% | 26 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.49 | 75.66% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.49 | 75.78% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.60% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.34% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.40% | 26 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.49 | 75.40% | 26 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.49 | 75.38% | 26 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.49 | 75.39% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% pink 11.6% classified 0.3% restricted 24.0% rare 0.0% mil spec 9.9% light blue 0.4% Industrial Grade 0.4% violet 2.5% Legendary 3.6% Uncommon 12.2% blue 12.0% blueLight 11.7% #8847ff 11.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.38 on average: an expected loss of $25.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt