---
title: "Допплер эра case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Допплер эра ($40.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.60% from 12 items with odds, observed 70.44% over 870 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Допплер эра](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Допплер эра

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=all)

Price · $40.99

Advertised RTP · 66.60% · EV $27.30 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.44% · 870 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67.59% ±20.76 183 openings

7 days · 68.65% ±10.83 680 openings

30 days · 70.44% ±9.55 870 openings

since tracking started · 70.44% ±9.55 870 openings

46.0% 67.5% 89.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=24h) | 183 | 67.59% ±20.8 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=7d) | 680 | 68.65% ±10.8 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera) | 870 | 70.44% ±9.55 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/dopplerera?window=all) | 870 | 70.44% ±9.55 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 871 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 53,537 | $1,996 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17,825 | $1,286 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 4,458 | $791 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 4,340 | $784 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 793 | $441 | 2.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.73× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 213 | $283 | 4.9% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 179 | $267 | 5.5% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $228 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.02× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $216 | 8.3% | 11 | 9.1 | 1.21× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $114 | 27.7% | 52 | 57.8 | 0.90× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $109 | 29.9% | 76 | 65.5 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 82.7% | $4.15 | 12.6% | 704 | 720.3 | 0.98× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=dopplerera)

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [tohui](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/tohui) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [DaBuggs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaBuggs) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [DaBuggs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaBuggs) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [DaBuggs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaBuggs) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [DaBuggs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaBuggs) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [DaBuggs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaBuggs) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $40.99 $4.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $40.99 | 66.60% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $40.99 | 66.46% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $40.99 | 66.45% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $40.99 | 66.70% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $40.99 | 67.00% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $40.99 | 66.99% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $40.99 | 66.99% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $40.99 | 67.04% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $40.99 | 67.09% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $40.99 | 67.47% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $40.99 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $40.99 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $40.99 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $40.99 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $40.99 | 67.47% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.48% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.47% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $40.99 | 67.40% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $40.99 | 67.51% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $40.99 | 67.82% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $40.99 | 67.83% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $40.99 | 67.75% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $40.99 | 67.47% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $40.99 | 67.56% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $40.99 | 67.54% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $40.99 | 67.56% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $40.99 | 67.52% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 8.9% covert knife 0.0% #ffd700 0.9% Covert 7.5% Legendary 82.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.60 on average: an expected loss of $33.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt