---
title: "Dr. Boom Charms case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dr. Boom Charms ($0.40) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.11% from 17 items with odds, observed 94.44% over 1,242 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Dr. Boom Charms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Dr. Boom Charms

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=all)

Price · $0.40

Advertised RTP · 75.11% · EV $0.30 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.44% · 1,242 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.42% ±13.77 101 openings

7 days · 96.13% ±5.42 946 openings

30 days · 94.44% ±4.99 1,242 openings

since tracking started · 94.44% ±4.99 1,242 openings

74.5% 90.8% 107.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 75.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (89.45% – 99.43%, 1,242 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=24h) | 101 | 92.42% ±13.8 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=7d) | 946 | 96.13% ±5.42 | +7.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms) | 1,242 | 94.44% ±4.99 | +7.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drboomcharms?window=all) | 1,242 | 94.44% ±4.99 | +7.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,244 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Charm \| Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) | 1 in 9,599 | $13.39 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Charm \| Glitter Bomb charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glitter-bomb) | 1 in 9,368 | $11.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Yeti charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-yeti) | 1 in 3,140 | $3.57 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Charm \| Hungry Eyes charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hungry-eyes) | 1 in 2,034 | $2.93 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Charm \| Eye of Ball charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-eye-of-ball) | 1 in 1,524 | $2.61 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Eco charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-eco) | 1 in 1,490 | $2.59 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Charm \| Flash Bomb charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-flash-bomb) | 1 in 1,363 | $2.50 | 0.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Bloody charm · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-bloody) | 1 in 176 | $1.19 | 2.3% | 30 | 7.1 | 4.24× |
| [Charm \| Dr. Brian charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-dr-brian) | 1 in 21 | $0.53 | 8.4% | 100 | 59.3 | 1.69× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Dumplin' charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-dumplin) | 1 in 19 | $0.51 | 8.9% | 103 | 64.9 | 1.59× |
| [Charm \| Bomb Tag charm · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-bomb-tag) | 1 in 20 | $0.51 | 8.7% | 87 | 63.5 | 1.37× |
| [Charm \| Big Brain charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-brain) | 1 in 18 | $0.50 | 9.0% | 106 | 67.6 | 1.57× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Chomper charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-chomper) | 1 in 16 | $0.47 | 9.8% | 127 | 77.2 | 1.64× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Facelift charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-facelift) | 1 in 12 | $0.42 | 11.3% | 156 | 101.4 | 1.54× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) | 16.6% | $0.28 | 15.2% | 124 | 206.2 | 0.60× |
| [Charm \| Splatter Cat charm · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-splatter-cat) | 23.1% | $0.20 | 15.2% | 130 | 287.5 | 0.45× |
| [Charm \| Fluffy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-fluffy) | 24.6% | $0.10 | 7.8% | 108 | 305.5 | 0.35× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Charm | 8 Ball IGL charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-8-ball-igl) [KyM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/KyM) $0.40 $27.87 69.68x 2026-11-05 14:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=drboomcharms)

[Charm | Splatter Cat charm · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-splatter-cat) [trable777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/trable777) $0.40 $0.20 0.49x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[Charm | Splatter Cat charm · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-splatter-cat) [trable777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/trable777) $0.40 $0.20 0.49x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) [trable777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/trable777) $0.40 $0.26 0.66x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Chomper charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-chomper) [trable777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/trable777) $0.40 $0.48 1.19x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Charm | Big Brain charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-brain) [trable777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/trable777) $0.40 $0.50 1.25x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) [отсосу за колбасу](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BE%D1%82%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%83%20%D0%B7%D0%B0%20%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B1%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83) $0.40 $0.26 0.66x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Facelift charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-facelift) [Dar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dar) $0.40 $0.42 1.04x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) [Dar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dar) $0.40 $0.26 0.66x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[Charm | Dr. Brian charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-dr-brian) [Dar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dar) $0.40 $0.50 1.25x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) [Dar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dar) $0.40 $0.26 0.66x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.40 | 75.11% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.40 | 74.99% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.40 | 74.82% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.40 | 74.77% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.40 | 75.21% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.40 | 75.55% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.40 | 75.39% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.40 | 75.31% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.40 | 75.56% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.40 | 75.60% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.40 | 75.87% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.40 | 75.84% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.40 | 75.86% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.40 | 75.84% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.40 | 75.95% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.40 | 75.89% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.40 | 76.11% | 20 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.40 | 75.99% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.40 | 75.98% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.40 | 75.90% | 20 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.40 | 76.03% | 20 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.40 | 75.76% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.40 | 76.02% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.40 | 76.44% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.40 | 76.53% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.40 | 76.34% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.40 | 75.90% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.40 | 76.12% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.40 | 76.11% | 20 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.40 | 76.03% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #eb4b4b 0.0% red 0.0% #d32ce6 0.2% Legendary 0.0% violet 0.6% #8847ff 29.8% Mythical 5.1% #4b69ff 41.1% blue 23.1% best hit $27.87 (69.68x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.11 on average: an expected loss of $24.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt