---
title: "Стиль case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Стиль ($209.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 71.02% from 27 items with odds, observed 67.53% over 140 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Стиль](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Стиль

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=all)

Price · $209.00

Advertised RTP · 71.02% · EV $148.42 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 67.53% · 140 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 68.29% ±9.85 123 openings

30 days · 67.53% ±9.25 140 openings

since tracking started · 67.53% ±9.25 140 openings

48.5% 69.0% 89.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=24h) | 28 | 68.95% ±20.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=7d) | 123 | 68.29% ±9.85 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip) | 140 | 67.53% ±9.25 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/drip?window=all) | 140 | 67.53% ±9.25 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 140 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,147 | $2,970 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,325 | $1,993 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,822 | $1,594 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,274 | $1,138 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $1,074 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-well-worn) | 1 in 756 | $931 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 577 | $842 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $478 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $427 | 3.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $424 | 3.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $335 | 4.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $283 | 4.9% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $273 | 5.1% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.29× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $261 | 5.3% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $205 | 6.2% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.28× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $204 | 6.2% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $162 | 6.4% | 4 | 8.3 | 0.48× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $150 | 6.4% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $122 | 5.9% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $121 | 5.8% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $111 | 5.5% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $109 | 5.4% | 5 | 10.3 | 0.48× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $99.46 | 5.0% | 5 | 10.5 | 0.48× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $93.93 | 4.7% | 6 | 10.5 | 0.57× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $83.52 | 4.1% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $70.56 | 3.3% | 21 | 9.8 | 2.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $67.61 | 3.1% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=drip)

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) [You Pidrs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/You%20Pidrs) $209 $271 1.30x 2026-11-11 04:14 UTC

[M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $99.28 0.48x 2026-11-11 03:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $204 0.98x 2026-11-11 03:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $204 0.98x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $150 0.72x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $93.90 0.45x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $83.30 0.40x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $66.96 0.32x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $209 $99.28 0.48x 2026-11-11 03:50 UTC

[AWP | BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $209 $93.96 0.45x 2026-11-11 02:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $209 | 71.02% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $209 | 70.85% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $209 | 70.84% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $209 | 71.11% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $209 | 71.42% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $209 | 71.43% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $209 | 71.41% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $209 | 71.47% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $209 | 71.53% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $209 | 71.94% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $209 | 71.91% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $209 | 71.90% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $209 | 71.93% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $209 | 71.93% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $209 | 71.93% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $209 | 71.94% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $209 | 71.91% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $209 | 71.92% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $209 | 71.93% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $209 | 71.93% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $209 | 71.87% | 26 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $209 | 71.98% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $209 | 72.31% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $209 | 72.32% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $209 | 72.23% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $209 | 71.94% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $209 | 72.02% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $209 | 72.02% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $209 | 72.02% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $209 | 72.00% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 22.1% extraordinary 13.3% gold 1.1% restricted 1.1% classified 34.3% sunny 2.6% epic 4.5% rare 6.3% red 7.3% Covert 7.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.02 on average: an expected loss of $28.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt