---
title: "eSports 2014 Summer Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "eSports 2014 Summer Case ($5.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.48% from 19 items with odds, observed 84.84% over 1,065 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [eSports 2014 Summer Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · eSports 2014 Summer Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=all)

Price · $5.39

Advertised RTP · 76.48% · EV $4.12 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.84% · 1,065 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 84.99% ±7.84 1,039 openings

30 days · 84.84% ±7.76 1,065 openings

since tracking started · 84.84% ±7.76 1,065 openings

-0.5% 79.8% 160.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=24h) | 10 | 67.74% ±91.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=7d) | 1,039 | 84.99% ±7.84 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014) | 1,065 | 84.84% ±7.76 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/esports-summer-2014?window=all) | 1,065 | 84.84% ±7.76 | +2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,066 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 9,952 | $435 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,884 | $324 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,789 | $265 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 4,857 | $72.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 4,679 | $70.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $19.63 | 2.3% | 16 | 5.2 | 3.08× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $16.35 | 3.2% | 6 | 8.5 | 0.70× |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $11.20 | 5.7% | 30 | 22.6 | 1.33× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $10.75 | 6.1% | 40 | 24.9 | 1.61× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $10.56 | 6.2% | 21 | 26.0 | 0.81× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $9.52 | 7.1% | 51 | 33.0 | 1.55× |
| [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $9.36 | 7.3% | 37 | 34.2 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $8.72 | 7.9% | 0 | 40.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 13.3% | $3.31 | 10.7% | 106 | 141.8 | 0.75× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 13.9% | $2.68 | 9.0% | 94 | 148.1 | 0.63× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 13.9% | $2.67 | 9.0% | 195 | 148.2 | 1.32× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 13.9% | $2.60 | 8.8% | 195 | 148.2 | 1.32× |
| [XM1014 \| Red Python (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-field-tested) | 13.5% | $2.11 | 6.9% | 61 | 143.5 | 0.43× |
| [Negev \| Bratatat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-field-tested) | 13.2% | $2.00 | 6.4% | 85 | 141.0 | 0.60× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=esports-summer-2014)

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [Пинки Пай](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%B8%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%B9) $5.39 $2.60 0.48x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [Пинки Пай](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%B8%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%B9) $5.39 $2.60 0.48x 2026-11-11 20:15 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [М'ята ♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C'%D1%8F%D1%82%D0%B0%20%E2%99%A5) $5.39 $2.60 0.48x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) [М'ята ♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C'%D1%8F%D1%82%D0%B0%20%E2%99%A5) $5.39 $2.68 0.50x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) [М'ята ♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C'%D1%8F%D1%82%D0%B0%20%E2%99%A5) $5.39 $3.37 0.63x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) [Молодой Пенсионе](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $5.39 $3.42 0.63x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) [Молодой Пенсионе](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $5.39 $3.42 0.63x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [tohui](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/tohui) $5.39 $2.59 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-field-tested) [doctorbayard](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/doctorbayard) $5.39 $2.01 0.37x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC

[MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) [rybel1990@@](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rybel1990%40%40) $5.39 $11.22 2.08x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC | $5.39 | 76.48% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $5.39 | 76.76% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $5.39 | 76.58% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.40% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.40% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.66% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $5.39 | 77.00% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.03% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $5.39 | 76.99% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.09% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.14% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $5.39 | 77.57% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $5.39 | 77.55% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.59% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.57% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.60% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.51% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.53% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.55% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.54% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.52% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.63% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $5.39 | 77.98% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $5.39 | 78.02% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.90% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.58% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.66% | 18 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.65% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 6.5% restricted 33.3% mil spec 42.4% Mythical 3.8% Rare 13.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.48 on average: an expected loss of $23.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt