--- title: "Победители EWC case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Победители EWC ($12.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 71.59% from 30 items with odds, observed 72.01% over 520 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Победители EWC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Победители EWC A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=all) Price · $12.99 Advertised RTP · 71.59% · EV $9.30 from 30 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.01% · 520 openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 69.13% ±14.58 107 openings 7 days · 71.99% ±6.95 483 openings 30 days · 72.01% ±6.70 520 openings since tracking started · 72.01% ±6.70 520 openings 54.0% 69.3% 84.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=24h) | 107 | 69.13% ±14.6 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=7d) | 483 | 71.99% ±6.95 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners) | 520 | 72.01% ±6.70 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ewcwinners?window=all) | 520 | 72.01% ±6.70 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 521 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 9,522 | $388 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-field-tested) | 1 in 9,430 | $365 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 8,677 | $268 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 8,055 | $230 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 6,716 | $182 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 5,908 | $162 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 3,707 | $120 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 2,542 | $99.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,118 | $91.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-well-worn) | 1 in 1,614 | $81.94 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) | 1 in 1,307 | $75.33 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 1,162 | $71.95 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 644 | $57.58 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $33.79 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $32.87 | 2.5% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $29.25 | 3.0% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.62× | | [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $23.98 | 4.0% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $19.00 | 5.4% | 13 | 13.7 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $18.37 | 5.6% | 9 | 14.7 | 0.61× | | [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $12.73 | 7.4% | 25 | 28.1 | 0.89× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $11.97 | 7.6% | 23 | 30.7 | 0.75× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $9.91 | 7.8% | 33 | 38.1 | 0.87× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $9.63 | 7.8% | 34 | 39.2 | 0.87× | | [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $8.35 | 7.5% | 37 | 43.7 | 0.85× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $6.32 | 6.3% | 6 | 48.5 | 0.12× | | [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $6.09 | 6.1% | 55 | 48.6 | 1.13× | | [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $5.46 | 5.5% | 62 | 48.6 | 1.28× | | [P90 \| Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $5.21 | 5.2% | 50 | 48.3 | 1.04× | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $5.20 | 5.2% | 42 | 48.3 | 0.87× | | [Charm \| Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) | 1 in 11 | $4.84 | 4.7% | 44 | 47.5 | 0.93× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=ewcwinners) [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $4.77 0.37x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $10.03 0.77x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $5.19 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $5.18 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $5.18 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $4.77 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $4.77 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $9.63 0.74x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $5.47 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $12.99 $5.47 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $12.99 | 71.59% | 30 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.43% | 30 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.42% | 30 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.68% | 30 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $12.99 | 72.00% | 30 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.01% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $12.99 | 71.99% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.06% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.11% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $12.99 | 72.49% | 30 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $12.99 | 72.48% | 30 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.50% | 30 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.51% | 30 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.53% | 30 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.50% | 30 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.51% | 30 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.46% | 30 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.55% | 30 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $12.99 | 72.89% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $12.99 | 72.91% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.81% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.61% | 30 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.59% | 30 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $12.99 | 72.61% | 30 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $12.99 | 72.58% | 30 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% Immortal 0.0% sunny 0.0% rare 9.1% extraordinary 0.0% classified 24.8% red 0.8% Ancient 0.2% restricted 9.4% Legendary 11.9% pink 25.9% #d32ce6 7.5% violet 9.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.59 on average: an expected loss of $28.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt