---
title: "FAMAS case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FAMAS ($2.19) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.27% from 25 items with odds, observed 73.51% over 426 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [FAMAS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · FAMAS

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=all)

Price · $2.19

Advertised RTP · 75.27% · EV $1.65 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 73.51% · 426 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 73.25% ±7.72 319 openings

30 days · 73.51% ±6.74 426 openings

since tracking started · 73.51% ±6.74 426 openings

46.0% 72.0% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=24h) | 28 | 72.15% ±25.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=7d) | 319 | 73.25% ±7.72 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas) | 426 | 73.51% ±6.74 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/famas?window=all) | 426 | 73.51% ±6.74 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 426 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 156,255 | $99.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118,616 | $74.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-field-tested) | 1 in 93,822 | $62.75 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,638 | $45.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 32,447 | $37.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 18,011 | $30.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-field-tested) | 1 in 9,898 | $24.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 8,280 | $22.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) | 1 in 4,668 | $18.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 3,162 | $16.48 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,327 | $12.28 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) | 1 in 479 | $8.71 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 471 | $8.66 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $8.25 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 280 | $7.26 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $6.41 | 2.0% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $6.16 | 2.2% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $5.13 | 3.1% | 7 | 4.2 | 1.66× |
| [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $4.12 | 4.6% | 0 | 7.9 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $3.42 | 6.5% | 10 | 13.4 | 0.75× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $2.85 | 9.0% | 18 | 22.2 | 0.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.74 | 9.6% | 21 | 24.7 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Hexane (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.55 | 10.8% | 21 | 29.7 | 0.71× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $2.41 | 11.9% | 44 | 34.7 | 1.27× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) | 65.6% | $0.84 | 33.4% | 283 | 279.4 | 1.01× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=famas)

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [ilieyy411](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ilieyy411) $2.19 $0.82 0.37x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [K7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/K7) $2.19 $0.84 0.38x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [ninja1;](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ninja1%3B) $2.19 $0.85 0.39x 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [Nilzran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nilzran) $2.19 $0.85 0.39x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $2.19 $2.72 1.24x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [𝕰𝖒𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖓𝖊ss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%B0%F0%9D%96%92%F0%9D%96%95%F0%9D%96%99%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%8Ass) $2.19 $0.85 0.39x 2026-11-11 00:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [𝕰𝖒𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖓𝖊ss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%B0%F0%9D%96%92%F0%9D%96%95%F0%9D%96%99%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%8Ass) $2.19 $0.85 0.39x 2026-11-11 00:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [𝕰𝖒𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖓𝖊ss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%B0%F0%9D%96%92%F0%9D%96%95%F0%9D%96%99%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%8Ass) $2.19 $0.85 0.39x 2026-11-11 00:51 UTC

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) [Блэкджекович](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D0%BB%D1%8D%D0%BA%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87) $2.19 $2.99 1.37x 2026-11-10 23:17 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [Fallenflix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fallenflix) $2.19 $0.96 0.44x 2026-11-10 23:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.19 | 75.27% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.19 | 75.06% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.19 | 74.90% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.19 | 74.90% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.19 | 75.14% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.19 | 75.39% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.19 | 75.42% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.19 | 75.67% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.19 | 75.58% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.19 | 75.55% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.19 | 76.00% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.19 | 75.99% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.19 | 75.98% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.19 | 76.12% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.19 | 75.94% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.19 | 75.99% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 76.13% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 76.10% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.19 | 76.04% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.19 | 75.98% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 76.09% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 75.99% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.19 | 76.27% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.19 | 76.38% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.19 | 76.37% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.19 | 76.49% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.19 | 76.20% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.19 | 76.24% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.19 | 76.16% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.19 | 76.10% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% #8847ff 13.4% blue 0.6% uncommon 0.0% pink 0.5% classified 1.0% restricted 71.8% #d32ee6 0.1% violet 0.2% #777777 0.2% #4b69ff 7.2% Consumer Grade 1.9% mil spec 3.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.27 on average: an expected loss of $24.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt