---
title: "FBBTV case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FBBTV ($2.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.03% from 34 items with odds, observed 90.83% over 1,532 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [FBBTV](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · FBBTV

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=all)

Price · $2.99

Advertised RTP · 76.03% · EV $2.27 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.83% · 1,532 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 92.28% ±4.22 1,377 openings

30 days · 90.83% ±4.02 1,532 openings

since tracking started · 90.83% ±4.02 1,532 openings

43.5% 70.3% 97.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.31% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (86.81% – 94.84%, 1,532 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=24h) | 40 | 68.81% ±24.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=7d) | 1,377 | 92.28% ±4.22 | +7.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb) | 1,532 | 90.83% ±4.02 | +6.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fbb?window=all) | 1,532 | 90.83% ±4.02 | +6.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,532 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179,012 | $208 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 162,121 | $165 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118,701 | $115 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88,331 | $93.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 88,253 | $93.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 64,264 | $79.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 58,058 | $75.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 46,630 | $68.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 22,679 | $51.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,597 | $44.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,846 | $41.54 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 11,417 | $39.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,417 | $39.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 6,782 | $33.19 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 5,712 | $31.28 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 4,850 | $29.56 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 4,415 | $28.62 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,838 | $24.61 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 2,095 | $22.19 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 739 | $15.56 | 0.9% | 7 | 2.1 | 3.38× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 381 | $12.40 | 1.4% | 13 | 4.0 | 3.23× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 366 | $12.23 | 1.5% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.44× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 365 | $12.21 | 1.5% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 330 | $11.80 | 1.6% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 199 | $9.89 | 2.2% | 11 | 7.7 | 1.43× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $8.90 | 2.7% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.25× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $6.09 | 5.1% | 22 | 29.2 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $5.46 | 6.1% | 30 | 38.7 | 0.78× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $3.61 | 10.5% | 155 | 101.6 | 1.53× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.41 | 11.2% | 134 | 114.1 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 16.8% | $2.02 | 14.9% | 239 | 257.5 | 0.93× |
| [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $2.00 | 15.0% | 22 | 260.5 | 0.08× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 22.5% | $1.15 | 11.4% | 190 | 345.0 | 0.55× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 22.5% | $1.13 | 11.2% | 54 | 345.1 | 0.16× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=fbb)

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $2.99 $1.09 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/N) $2.99 $1.13 0.38x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/N) $2.99 $3.41 1.14x 2026-11-11 08:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [Аналный сквозняк](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B7%D0%BD%D1%8F%D0%BA) $2.99 $1.13 0.38x 2026-11-11 07:08 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [ROLTON](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ROLTON) $2.99 $1.19 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:57 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Chico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Chico) $2.99 $1.19 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Azevedon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Azevedon) $2.99 $1.23 0.41x 2026-11-11 01:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [ВоДиЛа\_По\_ГуБаМ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%B8%D0%9B%D0%B0_%D0%9F%D0%BE_%D0%93%D1%83%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%9C) $2.99 $1.16 0.39x 2026-11-10 20:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [MARCELO FLORES MENTALITY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MARCELO%20FLORES%20MENTALITY) $2.99 $1.17 0.39x 2026-11-10 19:34 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [MARCELO FLORES MENTALITY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MARCELO%20FLORES%20MENTALITY) $2.99 $11.79 3.94x 2026-11-10 19:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.99 | 76.03% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.99 | 75.90% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.99 | 75.88% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.99 | 76.28% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.99 | 76.53% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.99 | 76.58% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.99 | 76.53% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.99 | 76.60% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.99 | 76.74% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.99 | 77.14% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.99 | 77.09% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.99 | 77.08% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.99 | 77.07% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.99 | 77.11% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.99 | 77.19% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.05% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.01% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.06% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.05% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.10% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.99 | 77.03% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.99 | 77.10% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.99 | 77.48% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.99 | 77.51% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.99 | 77.47% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.99 | 77.15% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.99 | 77.13% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.99 | 77.15% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.99 | 77.22% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.99 | 77.12% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 32.4% restricted 6.6% blue 17.0% mil spec 2.5% Ancient 0.0% Mythical 0.0% pink 24.4% Rare 16.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.03 on average: an expected loss of $23.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt