--- title: "Felps mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Felps mining ($2.19) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.09% from 6 items with odds, observed 163.83% over 3,908 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Felps mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Felps mining A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=all) Price · $2.19 Advertised RTP · 66.09% · EV $1.45 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 163.83% · 3,908 openings, odds method Variance · 90.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 165 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 540 openings · below min 7 days · 167.77% ±31.66 3,595 openings 30 days · 163.83% ±30.36 3,908 openings since tracking started · 163.83% ±30.36 3,908 openings -0.5% 99.8% 200.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 66.92% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (133.48% – 194.19%, 3,908 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=24h) | 540 | 20.04% ±79.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=7d) | 3,595 | 167.77% ±31.7 | +6.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining) | 3,908 | 163.83% ±30.4 | +6.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/felpsmining?window=all) | 3,908 | 163.83% ±30.4 | +6.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,908 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,650 | $1,036 | 8.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 6,311 | $667 | 7.3% | 4 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 3,167 | $431 | 9.4% | 6 | 1.2 | 4.86× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 873 | $255 | 20.2% | 11 | 4.5 | 2.46× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $160 | 47.8% | 27 | 16.9 | 1.60× | | [Charm \| Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) | 99.4% | $0.10 | 7.1% | 3,859 | 3884.3 | 0.99× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) [Away](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Away) $2.19 $1,003 458.0x 2026-11-06 10:10 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Charlápiou](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Charl%C3%A1piou) $2.19 $697 318.4x 2026-11-08 02:49 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [VAGOVOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VAGOVOD) $2.19 $658 300.4x 2026-11-04 22:58 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [VAGOVOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VAGOVOD) $2.19 $658 300.4x 2026-11-04 22:58 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Away](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Away) $2.19 $655 299.0x 2026-11-05 22:04 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [Crica\_BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Crica_BR) $2.19 $447 204.1x 2026-11-04 12:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [snkrsl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/snkrsl) $2.19 $446 203.8x 2026-11-04 15:16 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [Away](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Away) $2.19 $440 201.0x 2026-11-06 23:28 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [xoxloma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xoxloma) $2.19 $437 199.3x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [Away](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Away) $2.19 $436 199.3x 2026-11-05 21:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=felpsmining) [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [Pink Flamingo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Pink%20Flamingo) $2.19 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.19 | 66.09% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.19 | 65.95% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.19 | 65.91% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.19 | 66.18% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.19 | 66.47% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.19 | 66.49% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.19 | 66.46% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.19 | 66.53% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.19 | 66.59% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.19 | 66.95% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.19 | 66.92% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.19 | 66.91% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.19 | 66.97% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.19 | 66.94% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.19 | 66.96% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.97% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.95% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.93% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.93% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.96% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 66.89% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.19 | 66.99% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.19 | 67.28% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.19 | 67.30% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.19 | 67.22% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.19 | 66.94% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.19 | 67.05% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.19 | 67.02% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.19 | 67.02% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.19 | 67.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% legendary 0.0% pink 0.4% #4b69ff 99.4% best hit $1,003 (458.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.09 on average: an expected loss of $33.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt