---
title: "Fenya case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fenya ($3.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.12% from 34 items with odds, observed 76.65% over 2,332 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Fenya](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Fenya

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=all)

Price · $3.39

Advertised RTP · 76.12% · EV $2.58 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.65% · 2,332 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 80.47% ±12.76 265 openings

7 days · 76.15% ±4.83 2,051 openings

30 days · 76.65% ±4.55 2,332 openings

since tracking started · 76.65% ±4.55 2,332 openings

67.0% 80.5% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=24h) | 265 | 80.47% ±12.8 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=7d) | 2,051 | 76.15% ±4.83 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya) | 2,332 | 76.65% ±4.55 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fenya?window=all) | 2,332 | 76.65% ±4.55 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,335 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 199,256 | $799 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 197,845 | $559 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144,577 | $171 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140,831 | $165 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 126,355 | $148 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 112,841 | $135 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 75,512 | $105 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67,955 | $99.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 31,444 | $70.73 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 23,079 | $62.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 14,640 | $53.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,089 | $41.07 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 6,429 | $39.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,382 | $31.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,150 | $31.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 2,310 | $27.94 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 2,229 | $27.59 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 1,465 | $23.91 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 1,278 | $22.82 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 506 | $16.59 | 1.3% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.52× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 496 | $16.48 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $11.21 | 2.6% | 25 | 14.0 | 1.79× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $10.80 | 2.8% | 21 | 15.5 | 1.36× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $10.61 | 2.9% | 18 | 16.2 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $8.78 | 3.9% | 4 | 27.0 | 0.15× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $5.19 | 8.2% | 12 | 95.2 | 0.13× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $4.39 | 9.6% | 158 | 132.3 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $4.21 | 10.0% | 2 | 142.5 | 0.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 11.9% | $2.50 | 11.5% | 278 | 278.1 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 13.7% | $1.90 | 10.1% | 322 | 320.1 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 13.9% | $1.74 | 9.4% | 165 | 325.4 | 0.51× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $1.66 | 9.0% | 120 | 326.5 | 0.37× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 13.6% | $1.32 | 7.0% | 247 | 317.4 | 0.78× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 13.2% | $1.20 | 6.1% | 193 | 307.5 | 0.63× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=fenya)

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [Жека Тефтеля♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%B0%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D1%84%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8F%E2%99%BF) $3.39 $1.74 0.51x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $3.01 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $1.88 0.55x 2026-11-11 16:39 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [fleishe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/fleishe) $3.39 $4.22 1.24x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $1.20 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Tie weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $1.21 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $1.20 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [LEGBA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LEGBA) $3.39 $10.79 3.18x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) [n01an](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/n01an) $3.39 $1.90 0.56x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [n01an](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/n01an) $3.39 $1.74 0.51x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $3.39 | 76.12% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $3.39 | 75.95% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $3.39 | 75.82% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $3.39 | 75.77% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $3.39 | 76.09% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $3.39 | 76.41% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.39% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.38% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.44% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.52% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $3.39 | 76.97% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.39 | 76.94% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $3.39 | 76.95% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $3.39 | 76.94% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $3.39 | 76.98% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $3.39 | 76.91% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.00% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.95% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.96% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.97% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.97% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.95% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.03% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $3.39 | 77.37% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $3.39 | 77.39% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.30% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $3.39 | 76.94% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.09% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.07% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.39 | 77.08% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% rare 0.0% covert 0.0% red 0.0% restricted 0.7% Ancient 0.0% mil spec 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% violet 13.2% classified 6.6% #d32ee6 0.2% #8847ff 12.5% Mythical 28.5% Legendary 10.2% Rare 27.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.12 on average: an expected loss of $23.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt