---
title: "Ferrari F8 Tributo case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ferrari F8 Tributo ($879.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.17% from 15 items with odds, observed 94.49% over 15 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Ferrari F8 Tributo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Ferrari F8 Tributo

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=all)

Price · $879.00

Advertised RTP · 73.17% · EV $643.21 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.49% · 15 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 39.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 15 openings · below min

30 days · 15 openings · below min

since tracking started · 15 openings · below min

54.5% 86.0% 117.5%

**Small sample.** 15 openings and 5.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=24h) | 5 | 85.85% ±30.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=7d) | 15 | 94.49% ±18.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo) | 15 | 94.49% ±18.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo?window=all) | 15 | 94.49% ±18.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 990 | $4,541 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $2,204 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $1,159 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $1,151 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1,149 | 6.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $1,138 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $716 | 8.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $704 | 8.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.72× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $597 | 8.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $584 | 8.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $569 | 8.5% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.78× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $563 | 8.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 10.2% | $518 | 8.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 10.9% | $448 | 7.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 11.1% | $319 | 5.5% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [626](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/626) $879 $2,208 2.51x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) [XM1NN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/XM1NN) $879 $1,614 1.84x 2026-11-08 14:28 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $1,192 1.36x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $1,192 1.36x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [\\\\\_Fen1x\_//](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5C%5C_Fen1x_%2F%2F) $879 $737 0.84x 2026-11-05 21:21 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [DOTEX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DOTEX) $879 $704 0.80x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $879 $619 0.70x 2026-11-04 22:14 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $879 $593 0.67x 2026-11-09 04:11 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [B4RMEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/B4RMEN) $879 $572 0.65x 2026-11-10 00:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [D3stra](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/D3stra) $879 $565 0.64x 2026-11-08 03:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=ferraritributo)

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $879 $516 0.59x 2026-11-11 01:57 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $318 0.36x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $1,192 1.36x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $556 0.63x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $879 $1,192 1.36x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [626](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/626) $879 $2,208 2.51x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Farga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Farga) $879 $525 0.60x 2026-11-10 11:08 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [B4RMEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/B4RMEN) $879 $572 0.65x 2026-11-10 00:25 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [DOTEX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DOTEX) $879 $549 0.62x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [DOTEX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DOTEX) $879 $704 0.80x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $879 | 73.17% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $879 | 73.01% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $879 | 72.99% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $879 | 73.27% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $879 | 73.59% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $879 | 73.60% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $879 | 73.58% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $879 | 73.65% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $879 | 73.71% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $879 | 74.12% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $879 | 74.10% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $879 | 74.09% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $879 | 74.11% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $879 | 74.11% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $879 | 74.11% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $879 | 74.12% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $879 | 74.10% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $879 | 74.10% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $879 | 74.11% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $879 | 74.11% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $879 | 74.05% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $879 | 74.17% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $879 | 74.50% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $879 | 74.51% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $879 | 74.42% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $879 | 74.12% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $879 | 74.21% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $879 | 74.20% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $879 | 74.21% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $879 | 74.19% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.1% covert 69.0% extraordinary 3.4% classified 3.4% restricted 14.4% rare 9.7% best hit $2,208 (2.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.17 on average: an expected loss of $26.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt