---
title: "Огонь и вода case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Огонь и вода ($80.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.44% from 30 items with odds, observed 65.73% over 237 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Огонь и вода](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Огонь и вода

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=all)

Price · $80.99

Advertised RTP · 67.44% · EV $54.62 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.73% · 237 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 32 openings · below min

7 days · 59.42% ±9.47 208 openings

30 days · 65.73% ±8.87 237 openings

since tracking started · 65.73% ±8.87 237 openings

37.5% 62.5% 87.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=24h) | 32 | 62.60% ±24.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=7d) | 208 | 59.42% ±9.47 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice) | 237 | 65.73% ±8.87 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fireandice?window=all) | 237 | 65.73% ±8.87 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 238 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 95,074 | $1,996 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39,042 | $1,286 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 16,979 | $933 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,700 | $791 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,700 | $791 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,426 | $784 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,258 | $575 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,955 | $441 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,700 | $421 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,160 | $370 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 528 | $283 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 445 | $267 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 428 | $264 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 386 | $255 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 277 | $228 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 238 | $216 | 1.7% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $208 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 166 | $191 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $131 | 4.2% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $129 | 4.4% | 9 | 4.4 | 2.04× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $125 | 4.6% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $121 | 4.9% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $114 | 5.5% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.27× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $113 | 5.6% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.24× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $109 | 5.9% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.27× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $91.77 | 7.9% | 14 | 11.2 | 1.25× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $91.04 | 8.0% | 8 | 11.5 | 0.70× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 10.6% | $66.47 | 12.9% | 17 | 25.3 | 0.67× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 12.7% | $61.45 | 14.3% | 32 | 30.3 | 1.06× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 47.9% | $8.90 | 7.8% | 116 | 114.0 | 1.02× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=fireandice)

[★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [< 44도 >](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%26lt%3B%2044%EB%8F%84%20%26gt%3B) $80.99 $116 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [< 44도 >](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%26lt%3B%2044%EB%8F%84%20%26gt%3B) $80.99 $9.44 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [tohui](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/tohui) $80.99 $66.57 0.82x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [MaDDY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaDDY) $80.99 $9.45 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [Globe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Globe) $80.99 $9.45 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $80.99 $208 2.57x 2026-11-11 10:00 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $80.99 $61.45 0.76x 2026-11-11 10:00 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $80.99 $8.91 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:00 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $80.99 $8.91 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:00 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $80.99 $109 1.34x 2026-11-11 10:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $80.99 | 67.44% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.28% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.26% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.52% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $80.99 | 67.82% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.83% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.81% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.87% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.93% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $80.99 | 68.28% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $80.99 | 68.27% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.28% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.29% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.24% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.35% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $80.99 | 68.66% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $80.99 | 68.67% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.59% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.39% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.38% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $80.99 | 68.39% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $80.99 | 68.37% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 3.6% covert knife 0.0% covert 43.0% epic 0.1% #ffd700 0.4% Covert 5.0% classified 47.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.44 on average: an expected loss of $32.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt