---
title: "Five-SeveN case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Five-SeveN ($1.29) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 60.37% from 29 items with odds, observed 57.99% over 415 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Five-SeveN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Five-SeveN

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=all)

Price · $1.29

Advertised RTP · 60.37% · EV $0.78 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 57.99% · 415 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74 openings · below min

7 days · 57.46% ±12.35 378 openings

30 days · 57.99% ±11.79 415 openings

since tracking started · 57.99% ±11.79 415 openings

27.0% 55.0% 83.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=24h) | 74 | 55.07% ±27.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=7d) | 378 | 57.46% ±12.3 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven) | 415 | 57.99% ±11.8 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fiveseven?window=all) | 415 | 57.99% ±11.8 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 415 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 199,944 | $533 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 199,284 | $227 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 198,601 | $181 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 187,689 | $86.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 181,730 | $74.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161,283 | $55.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 152,199 | $51.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 70,775 | $28.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 30,602 | $19.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 30,347 | $19.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Anodized Gunmetal (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-anodized-gunmetal-factory-new) | 1 in 8,150 | $12.10 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 6,995 | $11.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,505 | $11.19 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 5,268 | $10.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $2.93 | 2.8% | 10 | 3.1 | 3.27× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $2.66 | 3.3% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $2.65 | 3.3% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $2.44 | 3.8% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $2.42 | 3.8% | 1 | 5.1 | 0.20× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Nightshade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nightshade-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $2.27 | 4.3% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-contractor-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $2.05 | 5.0% | 0 | 7.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $2.03 | 5.1% | 0 | 8.1 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.41 | 8.3% | 35 | 19.0 | 1.84× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.97 | 11.4% | 34 | 38.0 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-field-tested) | 11.4% | $0.82 | 12.0% | 0 | 47.3 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 15.9% | $0.53 | 10.8% | 35 | 66.0 | 0.53× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 16.4% | $0.46 | 9.8% | 89 | 68.1 | 1.31× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 16.1% | $0.36 | 7.3% | 41 | 66.7 | 0.61× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.35 | 7.1% | 69 | 66.3 | 1.04× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=fiveseven)

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $1.29 $0.47 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $1.29 $0.36 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) [Ogurchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ogurchik) $1.29 $0.47 0.36x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Penguin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Penguin) $1.29 $0.50 0.39x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) [Penguin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Penguin) $1.29 $1.41 1.09x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Пора домой](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0%20%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B9) $1.29 $0.50 0.39x 2026-11-11 11:25 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [xco5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xco5) $1.29 $0.35 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) [скрытопульный бл](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D1%81%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%8B%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B1%D0%BB) $1.29 $0.35 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:30 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) [RADUM1Xツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/RADUM1X%E3%83%84) $1.29 $1.41 1.09x 2026-11-11 09:25 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [RADUM1Xツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/RADUM1X%E3%83%84) $1.29 $0.35 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.29 | 60.37% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.29 | 60.26% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.29 | 60.22% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.29 | 60.48% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.29 | 60.74% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.29 | 60.70% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.29 | 60.71% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.29 | 60.78% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.29 | 60.91% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.29 | 61.14% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.29 | 61.15% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.29 | 61.09% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.29 | 61.17% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.29 | 61.10% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.29 | 61.15% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.17% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.15% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.12% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.20% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.20% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.29 | 61.14% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.29 | 61.20% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.29 | 61.49% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.29 | 61.52% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.29 | 61.42% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.29 | 61.15% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.29 | 61.30% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.29 | 61.30% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.29 | 61.29% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.29 | 61.26% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 16.5% covert 0.0% classified 0.0% mil spec 17.1% industrial 2.0% Legendary 0.0% Common 0.0% #8847ff 9.9% violet 21.5% consumer 2.9% Rare 1.2% Mil Spec Grade 1.5% Industrial Grade 11.4% #4b69ff 16.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 60.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $60.37 on average: an expected loss of $39.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt