---
title: "Flora mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Flora mining ($1.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.61% from 10 items with odds, observed 146.58% over 9,533 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Flora mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Flora mining

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 66.61% · EV $0.99 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 146.58% · 9,533 openings, odds method

Variance · 54.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 138 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 118.47% ±40.11 1,269 openings

7 days · 138.48% ±18.85 8,066 openings

30 days · 146.58% ±17.57 9,533 openings

since tracking started · 146.58% ±17.57 9,533 openings

66.0% 115.5% 165.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.32% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (129.01% – 164.15%, 9,533 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=24h) | 1,269 | 118.47% ±40.1 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=7d) | 8,066 | 138.48% ±18.9 | +7.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining) | 9,533 | 146.58% ±17.6 | +8.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/floramining?window=all) | 9,533 | 146.58% ±17.6 | +8.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,536 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180,686 | $1,993 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 115,508 | $1,050 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110,695 | $1,016 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 86,683 | $865 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,148 | $169 | 14.9% | 30 | 8.3 | 3.61× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 158 | $87.06 | 55.4% | 74 | 60.2 | 1.23× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 46.1% | $0.37 | 17.4% | 1,102 | 4391.6 | 0.25× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Green Marine (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-field-tested) | 25.3% | $0.20 | 5.2% | 2,488 | 2413.7 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-field-tested) | 14.1% | $0.11 | 1.6% | 1,378 | 1342.3 | 1.03× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) | 13.8% | $0.11 | 1.6% | 102 | 1319.5 | 0.08× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [ИВАН БУДКО](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%98%D0%92%D0%90%D0%9D%20%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%94%D0%9A%D0%9E) $1.49 $872 585.2x 2026-11-09 11:54 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $191 128.1x 2026-11-03 07:11 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Simões.jr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sim%C3%B5es.jr) $1.49 $181 121.7x 2026-11-04 00:27 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $181 121.7x 2026-11-04 00:18 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $180 120.8x 2026-11-05 05:04 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [noTT noW](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/noTT%20noW) $1.49 $180 120.8x 2026-11-05 01:33 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [kiber\_n1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kiber_n1) $1.49 $180 120.8x 2026-11-04 22:38 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [pavapeva](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pavapeva) $1.49 $180 120.8x 2026-11-04 22:32 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [O Pantaneiro YT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/O%20Pantaneiro%20YT) $1.49 $179 120.2x 2026-11-05 13:21 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Simões.jr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sim%C3%B5es.jr) $1.49 $179 120.2x 2026-11-05 13:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=floramining)

[SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.20 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.07 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.07 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.12 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.20 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.49 | 66.61% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.46% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.44% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.70% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.49 | 66.97% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.97% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.96% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.02% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.08% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.40% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.49 | 67.82% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.49 | 67.82% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.73% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.55% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.54% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.49 | 67.54% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.49 | 67.52% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 46.1% extraordinary 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 0.0% sunny 0.1% Covert 0.6% milspec 39.1% #4b69ff 14.1% best hit $872 (585.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.61 on average: an expected loss of $33.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt