---
title: "Fomynha mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fomynha mining ($1.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.50% from 11 items with odds, observed 141.04% over 367 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Fomynha mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Fomynha mining

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=all)

Price · $1.69

Advertised RTP · 67.50% · EV $1.14 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 141.04% · 367 openings, odds method

Variance · 40.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 109 openings · below min

7 days · 152.69% ±67.66 338 openings

30 days · 141.04% ±64.71 367 openings

since tracking started · 141.04% ±64.71 367 openings

-0.5% 114.3% 229.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.84% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (76.33% – 205.75%, 367 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=24h) | 109 | 110.56% ±117.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=7d) | 338 | 152.69% ±67.7 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining) | 367 | 141.04% ±64.7 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/fomynhamining?window=all) | 367 | 141.04% ±64.7 | +2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 367 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 9,431 | $575 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 9,324 | $540 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 2,221 | $148 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 765 | $98.08 | 11.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $38.78 | 65.0% | 22 | 7.0 | 3.13× |
| [P90 \| Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) | 26.0% | $0.13 | 2.9% | 139 | 95.6 | 1.45× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) | 15.8% | $0.08 | 1.1% | 23 | 58.1 | 0.40× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) | 15.6% | $0.08 | 1.1% | 30 | 57.1 | 0.53× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) | 14.5% | $0.07 | 0.9% | 69 | 53.0 | 1.30× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 51.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.06 | 0.6% | 0 | 43.9 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=fomynhamining)

[MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) [skinner](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/skinner) $1.69 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) [PTK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PTK) $1.69 $38.45 22.75x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

[P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) [PTK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PTK) $1.69 $0.13 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $1.69 $0.13 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $38.17 22.59x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $0.13 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.69 $0.13 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.69 | 67.50% | 11 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.69 | 67.31% | 11 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.69 | 67.19% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.69 | 67.16% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.69 | 67.43% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.69 | 67.72% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.69 | 67.73% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.69 | 67.72% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.69 | 67.77% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.69 | 67.82% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.69 | 68.22% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.69 | 68.17% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.69 | 68.16% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.69 | 68.20% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.69 | 68.20% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.69 | 68.19% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.21% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.19% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.21% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.21% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.19% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 68.14% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.69 | 68.25% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.69 | 68.58% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.69 | 68.56% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.69 | 68.50% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.69 | 68.22% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.69 | 68.29% | 11 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.69 | 68.30% | 11 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.69 | 68.29% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% rare 0.0% Immortal 0.1% extraordinary 1.9% milspec 40.5% blue 31.4% industrial 14.0% #5e98d9 12.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.50 on average: an expected loss of $32.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt