---
title: "Искра Франкенштейна case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Искра Франкенштейна ($0.21) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 61.43% from 6 items with odds, observed 7630.35% over 813 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Искра Франкенштейна](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Искра Франкенштейна

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=all)

Price · $0.21

Advertised RTP · 61.43% · EV $0.13 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 7630.35% · 813 openings, odds method

Variance · 53.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 132 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82 openings · below min

7 days · 650 openings · below min

30 days · 7630.35% ±50.67 813 openings

since tracking started · 7630.35% ±50.67 813 openings

60.5% 3885.8% 7711.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 61.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (7579.68% – 7681.02%, 813 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=24h) | 82 | 7186.76% ±157.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=7d) | 650 | 7653.82% ±56.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark) | 813 | 7630.35% ±50.7 | +292.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/frankensteinsspark?window=all) | 813 | 7630.35% ±50.7 | +292.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 815 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 6,211 | $51.34 | 6.4% | 11 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 2,897 | $32.29 | 8.6% | 18 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,309 | $23.16 | 13.7% | 71 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 793 | $19.22 | 18.8% | 140 | 1.0 | 136.16× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $11.85 | 46.3% | 525 | 4.1 | 127.83× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 99.2% | \<$0.01 | 6.2% | 0 | 808.8 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [DjavdatS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DjavdatS) $0.21 $55.05 262.1x 2026-11-07 11:44 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/) $0.21 $55.05 262.1x 2026-11-07 11:36 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [bekkero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/bekkero) $0.21 $55.05 262.1x 2026-11-07 11:26 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) [Hibridos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Hibridos) $0.21 $54.65 260.2x 2026-11-03 07:35 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [rukm4NN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rukm4NN) $0.21 $54.21 258.1x 2026-11-04 14:38 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [𝕱𝖗𝖆𝖓𝖐𝖊𝖓𝖘](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%B1%F0%9D%96%97%F0%9D%96%86%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%8A%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%98) $0.21 $53.19 253.3x 2026-11-03 17:12 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [L4sT\_RiD3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/L4sT_RiD3) $0.21 $53.19 253.3x 2026-11-03 17:07 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [shrtcut](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/shrtcut) $0.21 $53.09 252.8x 2026-11-05 17:37 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [deathking](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/deathking) $0.21 $52.87 251.8x 2026-11-05 22:37 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [ГРО МИ ЛА НЕГ Р ИЛ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%93%D0%A0%D0%9E%20%D0%9C%D0%98%20%D0%9B%D0%90%20%D0%9D%D0%95%D0%93%20%D0%A0%20%D0%98%D0%9B) $0.21 $51.46 245.0x 2026-11-04 04:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=frankensteinsspark)

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [| den-ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%7C%20den-ten) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [| den-ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%7C%20den-ten) $0.21 $19.16 91.24x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [| den-ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%7C%20den-ten) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [Graz Galan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Graz%20Galan) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [𝙽𝙸 カイラ。](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%99%BD%F0%9D%99%B8%20%E3%82%AB%E3%82%A4%E3%83%A9%E3%80%82) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [GASPAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GASPAR) $0.21 $19.16 91.24x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [Miracle1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Miracle1) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [Секс по телефону](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%81%20%D0%BF%D0%BE%20%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%84%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%83) $0.21 $19.09 90.90x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [GASPAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GASPAR) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) [cebola](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/cebola) $0.21 $11.80 56.19x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.21 | 61.43% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.21 | 60.97% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.21 | 60.79% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.21 | 60.78% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.21 | 61.42% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.21 | 61.68% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.21 | 61.68% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.21 | 61.67% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.21 | 61.50% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.21 | 61.54% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.21 | 61.87% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.21 | 61.84% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.21 | 61.85% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.21 | 61.87% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.21 | 61.86% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.21 | 61.88% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.88% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.85% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.86% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.94% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.99% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.21 | 61.82% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.21 | 61.93% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.21 | 62.45% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.21 | 62.33% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.21 | 62.19% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.21 | 61.95% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.21 | 61.94% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.21 | 61.97% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.21 | 62.10% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 0.0% restricted 0.1% classified 0.6% #b0c3d9 99.2% best hit $55.05 (262.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.43 on average: an expected loss of $38.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt