---
title: "Яхта Габена case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Яхта Габена ($0.07) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 78.19% from 27 items with odds, observed 116.19% over 24.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht
rendered: 2026-11-12T02:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Яхта Габена](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Яхта Габена

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=all)

Price · $0.07

Advertised RTP · 78.19% · EV $0.05 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 116.19% · 24.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 113.02% ±3.11 1,782 openings

7 days · 115.09% ±1.14 18K openings

30 days · 116.19% ±1.02 24.4K openings

since tracking started · 116.19% ±1.02 24.4K openings

77.5% 97.8% 118.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 79.20% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (115.17% – 117.22%, 24,392 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=24h) | 1,782 | 113.02% ±3.11 | +21.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=7d) | 18K | 115.09% ±1.14 | +61.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht) | 24.4K | 116.19% ±1.02 | +70.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gabenyacht?window=all) | 24.4K | 116.19% ±1.02 | +70.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 9,746 | $2.40 | 0.4% | 8 | 2.5 | 3.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 9,487 | $1.88 | 0.4% | 9 | 2.6 | 3.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 9,345 | $1.73 | 0.3% | 8 | 2.6 | 3.06× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 8,166 | $1.17 | 0.3% | 19 | 3.0 | 6.36× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 8,092 | $1.15 | 0.3% | 12 | 3.0 | 3.98× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,917 | $1.11 | 0.3% | 13 | 3.1 | 4.22× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 6,345 | $0.85 | 0.2% | 21 | 3.8 | 5.46× |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,818 | $0.52 | 0.3% | 35 | 8.7 | 4.04× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-field-tested) | 1 in 2,554 | $0.50 | 0.4% | 38 | 9.6 | 3.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 1,151 | $0.36 | 0.6% | 48 | 21.2 | 2.26× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,126 | $0.35 | 0.6% | 85 | 21.7 | 3.92× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,002 | $0.34 | 0.6% | 58 | 24.3 | 2.38× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 384 | $0.24 | 1.1% | 115 | 63.5 | 1.81× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $0.15 | 2.4% | 0 | 213.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.10 | 4.6% | 2,366 | 619.3 | 3.82× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.09 | 5.1% | 653 | 726.8 | 0.90× |
| [Charm \| Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) | 1 in 30 | $0.09 | 5.4% | 1,522 | 826.8 | 1.84× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Runic (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.08 | 5.7% | 2,749 | 914.0 | 3.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.07 | 6.8% | 137 | 1266.7 | 0.11× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.07 | 6.9% | 2,797 | 1290.0 | 2.17× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.07 | 7.4% | 476 | 1493.2 | 0.32× |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.05 | 8.2% | 6,314 | 2029.7 | 3.11× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Mystic Conjunction (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-mystic-conjunction-field-tested) | 10.6% | $0.04 | 8.7% | 0 | 2583.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Submerged (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-submerged-field-tested) | 11.8% | $0.04 | 8.6% | 0 | 2868.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) | 12.5% | $0.04 | 8.4% | 0 | 3041.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 12.3% | $0.04 | 8.3% | 0 | 3010.9 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-field-tested) | 13.7% | $0.03 | 7.5% | 0 | 3346.4 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=gabenyacht)

[Charm | Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.09 1.26x 2026-11-12 02:49 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.05 0.77x 2026-11-12 02:49 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.07 0.96x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.07 0.96x 2026-11-12 02:48 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.07 0.99x 2026-11-12 02:47 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [FaRaOn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FaRaOn) $0.07 $0.05 0.77x 2026-11-12 02:47 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [Ференц Йовшко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A4%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%86%20%D0%99%D0%BE%D0%B2%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%BE) $0.07 $0.05 0.77x 2026-11-12 02:45 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [FLaamm](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FLaamm) $0.07 $0.07 0.99x 2026-11-12 02:44 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [FLaamm](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FLaamm) $0.07 $0.05 0.77x 2026-11-12 02:44 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [Misti](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Misti) $0.07 $0.05 0.77x 2026-11-12 02:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC | $0.07 | 78.19% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.07 | 78.51% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.07 | 78.36% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.07 | 78.19% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.07 | 78.16% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.07 | 78.11% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.07 | 78.81% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.81% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.82% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.82% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.69% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.07 | 79.37% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.07 | 79.36% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.07 | 79.38% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.35% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.38% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.42% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.52% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.49% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.15% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.22% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.36% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 78.94% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.43% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.07 | 79.66% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.07 | 79.52% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.57% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.30% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.37% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.43% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed pink 0.0% #8847ff 0.1% Rare 0.0% restricted 0.0% Mythical 0.0% violet 0.1% #4b69ff 15.5% Restricted 0.1% mil spec 0.3% Uncommon 0.9% blue 2.5% common 3.0% milspec 16.6% #5e98d9 10.6% consumer 25.5% industrial 24.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.19 on average: an expected loss of $21.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt