---
title: "Gamma 2 Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gamma 2 Case ($0.80) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.28% from 16 items with odds, observed 106.93% over 1,622 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Gamma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Gamma 2 Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=all)

Price · $0.80

Advertised RTP · 76.28% · EV $0.61 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 106.93% · 1,622 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 94.29% ±47.74 131 openings

7 days · 98.62% ±15.21 1,376 openings

30 days · 106.93% ±14.00 1,622 openings

since tracking started · 106.93% ±14.00 1,622 openings

46.0% 94.3% 142.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.26% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (92.92% – 120.93%, 1,622 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=24h) | 131 | 94.29% ±47.7 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=7d) | 1,376 | 98.62% ±15.2 | +2.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2) | 1,622 | 106.93% ±14.0 | +4.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gamma2?window=all) | 1,622 | 106.93% ±14.0 | +4.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,622 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,991 | $114 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 9,989 | $109 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 9,988 | $105 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 9,986 | $99.71 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 9,876 | $47.73 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,897 | $12.50 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,602 | $12.01 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,165 | $11.32 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.22 | 10.2% | 125 | 82.8 | 1.51× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.21 | 10.3% | 140 | 84.4 | 1.66× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.16 | 10.8% | 148 | 92.0 | 1.61× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.15 | 11.0% | 142 | 94.5 | 1.50× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $1.10 | 11.4% | 173 | 102.9 | 1.68× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-minimal-wear) | 23.9% | $0.38 | 14.7% | 205 | 387.0 | 0.53× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) | 24.1% | $0.30 | 11.8% | 301 | 390.5 | 0.77× |
| [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-field-tested) | 23.8% | $0.28 | 10.9% | 34 | 386.2 | 0.09× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) [HYGYN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HYGYN) $0.80 $111 139.0x 2026-11-06 23:44 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.80 $110 138.0x 2026-11-03 08:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=gamma2)

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $0.32 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $0.32 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $0.32 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $0.32 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-well-worn) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $1.10 1.38x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-minimal-wear) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $0.38 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $1.24 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $1.24 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $1.22 1.53x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) [PANIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PANIKA) $0.80 $1.15 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.80 | 76.28% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.80 | 76.13% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.80 | 76.12% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.80 | 76.46% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.80 | 76.80% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.80 | 76.76% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.80 | 76.71% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.80 | 76.76% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.80 | 76.79% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.80 | 77.30% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.80 | 77.28% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.80 | 77.34% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.80 | 77.25% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.80 | 77.27% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.80 | 77.26% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.24% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.22% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.25% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.23% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.30% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.80 | 77.19% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.80 | 77.34% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.80 | 77.70% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.80 | 77.66% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.80 | 77.54% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.80 | 77.32% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.80 | 77.41% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.80 | 77.50% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.80 | 77.39% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.80 | 77.31% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.0% red 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% Legendary 0.0% restricted 5.1% violet 5.2% #8847ff 12.0% Mythical 5.8% milspec 47.7% #4b69ff 24.1% best hit $111 (139.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.28 on average: an expected loss of $23.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt