---
title: "GI2GI case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GI2GI ($19.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.15% from 32 items with odds, observed 79.51% over 975 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [GI2GI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · GI2GI

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=all)

Price · $19.99

Advertised RTP · 74.15% · EV $14.82 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.51% · 975 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 55 openings · below min

7 days · 79.80% ±7.43 732 openings

30 days · 79.51% ±6.78 975 openings

since tracking started · 79.51% ±6.78 975 openings

33.0% 61.8% 90.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=24h) | 55 | 61.77% ±27.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=7d) | 732 | 79.80% ±7.43 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase) | 975 | 79.51% ±6.78 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gi2gicase?window=all) | 975 | 79.51% ±6.78 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 975 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 199,794 | $6,731 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 23,758 | $348 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,720 | $277 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 7,357 | $228 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,634 | $208 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 4,438 | $192 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,650 | $179 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,113 | $170 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-field-tested) | 1 in 3,042 | $168 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,894 | $165 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 2,600 | $159 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-field-tested) | 1 in 2,354 | $154 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,069 | $147 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 1,358 | $128 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 1,257 | $124 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,154 | $121 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 992 | $115 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 969 | $114 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 817 | $107 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 697 | $102 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $32.29 | 6.6% | 31 | 29.6 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $31.94 | 6.7% | 24 | 30.3 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $31.94 | 6.7% | 3 | 30.3 | 0.10× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $31.93 | 6.7% | 16 | 30.3 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $30.29 | 7.1% | 14 | 34.0 | 0.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $16.59 | 10.6% | 79 | 92.0 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 11.3% | $13.61 | 10.4% | 122 | 109.9 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 12.2% | $11.87 | 9.8% | 115 | 118.8 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 12.8% | $8.56 | 7.4% | 120 | 125.2 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 12.7% | $7.90 | 6.8% | 46 | 123.8 | 0.37× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 12.4% | $7.26 | 6.1% | 119 | 121.1 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 12.3% | $6.97 | 5.8% | 0 | 119.5 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=gi2gicase)

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [BuLLeT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BuLLeT) $19.99 $11.88 0.59x 2026-11-11 16:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) [31 rus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/31%20rus) $19.99 $7.89 0.39x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) [31 rus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/31%20rus) $19.99 $7.26 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[AWP | The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) [Pištolník Maťo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Pi%C5%A1toln%C3%ADk%20Ma%C5%A5o) $19.99 $8.56 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $19.99 $16.59 0.83x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC

[AWP | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $19.99 $6.97 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $19.99 $13.61 0.68x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $19.99 $11.87 0.59x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC

[AWP | The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) [Iwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Iwe) $19.99 $8.78 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $19.99 $11.79 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $19.99 | 74.15% | 32 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $19.99 | 73.95% | 31 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $19.99 | 73.79% | 31 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $19.99 | 73.77% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $19.99 | 74.05% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $19.99 | 74.37% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.38% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.36% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.43% | 32 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.50% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $19.99 | 74.91% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $19.99 | 74.88% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $19.99 | 74.87% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.91% | 32 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.92% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.88% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 32 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.84% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $19.99 | 74.95% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $19.99 | 75.29% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $19.99 | 75.31% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.21% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $19.99 | 74.92% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.01% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.00% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $19.99 | 75.00% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.4% gold 0.1% legendary 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% sunny 0.2% rare 0.1% Immortal 0.1% epic 0.2% Covert 0.1% red 3.0% Ancient 6.6% classified 34.0% #eb4b4b 11.3% pink 37.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.15 on average: an expected loss of $25.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt