---
title: "Glock-18 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Glock-18 ($1.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 61.85% from 38 items with odds, observed 61.52% over 3,016 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Glock-18](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Glock-18

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=all)

Price · $1.69

Advertised RTP · 61.85% · EV $1.05 from 38 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 61.52% · 3,016 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 59.83% ±6.74 396 openings

7 days · 60.48% ±2.79 2,487 openings

30 days · 61.52% ±2.53 3,016 openings

since tracking started · 61.52% ±2.53 3,016 openings

52.5% 59.8% 67.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=24h) | 396 | 59.83% ±6.74 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=7d) | 2,487 | 60.48% ±2.79 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock) | 3,016 | 61.52% ±2.53 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/glock?window=all) | 3,016 | 61.52% ±2.53 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,036 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 199,323 | $253 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198,535 | $196 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 197,267 | $159 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 188,047 | $95.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 177,348 | $75.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 175,561 | $73.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173,008 | $70.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 146,060 | $53.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 138,661 | $49.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 94,421 | $36.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67,000 | $30.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 33,091 | $22.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24,925 | $19.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22,369 | $19.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 18,767 | $17.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 16,799 | $17.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-field-tested) | 1 in 10,216 | $14.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 7,418 | $12.82 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,471 | $8.78 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 1,691 | $7.72 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 1,404 | $7.24 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 423 | $4.79 | 1.1% | 13 | 7.2 | 1.81× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 319 | $4.34 | 1.3% | 14 | 9.5 | 1.47× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $3.46 | 2.0% | 16 | 18.0 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $2.96 | 2.6% | 11 | 27.5 | 0.40× |
| [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $2.52 | 3.3% | 0 | 42.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ifrit Lattice (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $2.30 | 3.9% | 2 | 53.2 | 0.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $1.93 | 5.0% | 33 | 81.8 | 0.40× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $1.79 | 5.5% | 140 | 96.9 | 1.44× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1.71 | 5.8% | 142 | 107.7 | 1.32× |
| [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.38 | 7.2% | 0 | 166.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1.15 | 8.3% | 264 | 227.8 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.02 | 8.8% | 188 | 273.0 | 0.69× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-field-tested) | 11.8% | $0.80 | 9.0% | 454 | 357.0 | 1.27× |
| [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-field-tested) | 11.8% | $0.80 | 9.0% | 225 | 357.0 | 0.63× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.78 | 8.9% | 436 | 363.0 | 1.20× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 13.5% | $0.65 | 8.4% | 275 | 409.4 | 0.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 14.2% | $0.55 | 7.5% | 538 | 431.6 | 1.25× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=glock)

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [chokh9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/chokh9) $1.69 $0.78 0.46x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.55 0.33x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.80 0.47x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.65 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.65 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Catacombs (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.80 0.47x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $0.65 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $1.69 $1.93 1.14x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [chokh9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/chokh9) $1.69 $0.55 0.33x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-field-tested) [pokazeys](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pokazeys) $1.69 $0.80 0.47x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.69 | 61.85% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.69 | 61.66% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.56% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.43% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.81% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.69 | 62.04% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.08% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.02% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.07% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.12% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.69 | 62.54% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.69 | 62.53% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.36% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.44% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.34% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.38% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.31% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.69 | 62.74% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.69 | 62.69% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.68% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.47% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.49% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.69 | 62.58% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 6.3% classified 0.0% red 0.0% Mythical 10.7% Covert 0.0% covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% Legendary 0.9% rare 0.0% pink 0.2% industrial 0.0% mil spec 23.4% violet 1.8% Uncommon 1.5% Industrial Grade 5.5% #8847ff 37.9% Rare 11.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.85 on average: an expected loss of $38.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt