---
title: "Бонусный кейс case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Бонусный кейс ($3.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.54% from 43 items with odds, observed 65.92% over 1,134 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Бонусный кейс](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Бонусный кейс

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=all)

Price · $3.39

Advertised RTP · 64.54% · EV $2.19 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.92% · 1,134 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63.97% ±10.54 147 openings

7 days · 67.34% ±4.22 980 openings

30 days · 65.92% ±3.94 1,134 openings

since tracking started · 65.92% ±3.94 1,134 openings

53.0% 64.0% 75.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=24h) | 147 | 63.97% ±10.5 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=7d) | 980 | 67.34% ±4.22 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1) | 1,134 | 65.92% ±3.94 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/go1?window=all) | 1,134 | 65.92% ±3.94 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,138 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 188,236 | $230 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 183,744 | $205 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 163,412 | $150 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 153,553 | $136 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 152,738 | $135 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134,237 | $116 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 88,430 | $84.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,238 | $72.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 54,451 | $65.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 50,252 | $63.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl \| The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) | 1 in 49,937 | $63.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 46,013 | $60.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39,145 | $56.89 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32,402 | $52.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 31,018 | $51.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 14,770 | $39.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 10,246 | $34.37 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 9,764 | $33.79 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 9,496 | $33.46 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 7,449 | $30.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 3,224 | $23.00 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 2,035 | $19.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 553 | $12.50 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) | 1 in 457 | $11.69 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 239 | $9.26 | 1.8% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $7.85 | 2.3% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.48× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $6.32 | 3.3% | 5 | 13.0 | 0.39× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $6.15 | 3.4% | 19 | 13.9 | 1.37× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $5.13 | 4.4% | 25 | 21.3 | 1.17× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $4.47 | 5.2% | 1 | 28.8 | 0.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $4.04 | 5.7% | 34 | 35.2 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $3.53 | 6.4% | 43 | 44.9 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $3.37 | 6.6% | 48 | 48.7 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.61 | 7.3% | 23 | 69.3 | 0.33× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.16 | 7.2% | 73 | 82.9 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.71 | 6.5% | 82 | 94.0 | 0.87× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.56 | 6.0% | 17 | 96.2 | 0.18× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.51 | 5.9% | 74 | 96.5 | 0.77× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.48 | 5.7% | 60 | 96.7 | 0.62× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.25 | 4.8% | 76 | 95.9 | 0.79× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $1.20 | 4.6% | 44 | 95.1 | 0.46× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.13 | 4.3% | 54 | 93.8 | 0.58× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.11 | 4.2% | 87 | 93.2 | 0.93× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=go1)

[AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $3.39 $1.84 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [i sniff my farts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/i%20sniff%20my%20farts) $3.39 $1.69 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) [dreeeeww](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dreeeeww) $3.39 $1.48 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $3.39 $1.17 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) [ℋℴℳℯℛ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%84%8B%E2%84%B4%E2%84%B3%E2%84%AF%E2%84%9B) $3.39 $1.48 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [IoR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IoR) $3.39 $3.52 1.04x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) [What's up man](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/What's%20up%20man) $3.39 $1.08 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $3.39 $4.05 1.19x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) [snowFlake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/snowFlake) $3.39 $6.34 1.87x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $3.39 $2.07 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $3.39 | 64.54% | 43 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $3.39 | 64.43% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $3.39 | 64.38% | 44 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $3.39 | 64.67% | 44 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $3.39 | 64.91% | 44 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $3.39 | 64.97% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $3.39 | 64.88% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $3.39 | 64.97% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $3.39 | 65.05% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $3.39 | 65.40% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.39 | 65.36% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $3.39 | 65.38% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $3.39 | 65.38% | 44 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $3.39 | 65.39% | 44 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $3.39 | 65.38% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.43% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.41% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.39% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.39% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.40% | 44 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 65.38% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.39 | 65.40% | 44 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $3.39 | 65.74% | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $3.39 | 65.76% | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $3.39 | 65.64% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $3.39 | 65.42% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $3.39 | 65.49% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $3.39 | 65.45% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.39 | 65.46% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $3.39 | 65.49% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% classified 10.8% covert 0.0% red 0.0% pink 11.9% extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% master 0.0% Legendary 10.1% #d32ee6 1.2% #8847ff 7.3% restricted 33.7% Mythical 16.6% violet 8.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.54 on average: an expected loss of $35.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt