---
title: "Золотое ухо case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Золотое ухо ($1.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.93% from 30 items with odds, observed 77.45% over 17K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Золотое ухо](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Золотое ухо

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=all)

Price · $1.39

Advertised RTP · 75.93% · EV $1.06 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.45% · 17K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 75.70% ±4.03 1,635 openings

7 days · 77.58% ±1.50 12.6K openings

30 days · 77.45% ±1.29 17K openings

since tracking started · 77.45% ±1.29 17K openings

71.0% 75.8% 80.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=24h) | 1,635 | 75.70% ±4.03 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=7d) | 12.6K | 77.58% ±1.50 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear) | 17K | 77.45% ±1.29 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/goldenear?window=all) | 17K | 77.45% ±1.29 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 9,491 | $48.94 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 9,251 | $42.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 8,151 | $30.24 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 5,339 | $19.26 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 4,015 | $16.09 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× |
| [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,919 | $15.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 4.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 2,325 | $12.30 | 0.5% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.50× |
| [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 2,046 | $11.64 | 0.5% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $10.91 | 0.6% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.13× |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,306 | $9.69 | 0.7% | 15 | 13.1 | 1.15× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,272 | $9.59 | 0.7% | 15 | 13.4 | 1.12× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 915 | $8.44 | 0.9% | 29 | 18.7 | 1.55× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 335 | $5.81 | 1.6% | 47 | 51.0 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $5.13 | 2.0% | 94 | 71.2 | 1.32× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $3.53 | 3.6% | 170 | 185.7 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $3.00 | 4.6% | 283 | 274.3 | 1.03× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $2.13 | 6.5% | 499 | 554.2 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.53 | 7.8% | 934 | 918.3 | 1.02× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $1.22 | 7.8% | 1,339 | 1149.6 | 1.16× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.21 | 7.7% | 1,349 | 1152.3 | 1.17× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.08 | 7.4% | 1,178 | 1242.1 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.04 | 7.3% | 1,359 | 1262.8 | 1.08× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.96 | 6.9% | 1,440 | 1302.7 | 1.11× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.76 | 5.6% | 1,484 | 1336.9 | 1.11× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.70 | 5.1% | 612 | 1324.4 | 0.46× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.67 | 4.9% | 198 | 1310.1 | 0.15× |
| [Charm \| Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) | 1 in 14 | $0.59 | 4.1% | 1,511 | 1263.1 | 1.20× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.55 | 3.7% | 1,428 | 1219.9 | 1.17× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.53 | 3.5% | 963 | 1206.7 | 0.80× |
| [P90 \| Randy Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-randy-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.51 | 3.3% | 1,131 | 1182.2 | 0.96× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=goldenear)

[P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-randy-rush-field-tested) [Hairoz^-^](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Hairoz%5E-%5E) $1.39 $0.50 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) [Hairoz^-^](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Hairoz%5E-%5E) $1.39 $1.04 0.75x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC

[MAC-10 | Derailment (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-field-tested) [sKIlOVEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/sKIlOVEN) $1.39 $1.52 1.09x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC

[SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-field-tested) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $0.70 0.50x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $1.21 0.87x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $0.76 0.55x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-randy-rush-field-tested) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $0.50 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $1.04 0.75x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $0.56 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [ZiZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZiZ) $1.39 $1.21 0.87x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.39 | 75.93% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.39 | 75.75% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.39 | 75.63% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.39 | 75.56% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.39 | 75.74% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.39 | 76.17% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.39 | 76.16% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.39 | 76.18% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.39 | 76.17% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 76.33% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.39 | 76.73% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.39 | 76.78% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 76.69% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 76.81% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 76.67% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 76.70% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.73% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.72% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.68% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.68% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.71% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 76.59% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 76.78% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 77.11% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 77.16% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 77.09% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 76.66% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 76.80% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 76.73% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 76.80% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 7.4% mil spec 0.1% pink 1.6% restricted 7.1% #d32ee6 0.1% Legendary 1.1% uncommon 10.6% #8847ff 20.2% violet 28.6% Mythical 15.4% blue 7.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.93 on average: an expected loss of $24.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt