---
title: "Гольф case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Гольф ($0.06) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.57% from 36 items with odds, observed 290.28% over 1,357 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Гольф](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Гольф

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=all)

Price · $0.06

Advertised RTP · 73.57% · EV $0.04 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 290.28% · 1,357 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 44 openings · below min

7 days · 304.53% ±6.34 1,160 openings

30 days · 290.28% ±5.74 1,357 openings

since tracking started · 290.28% ±5.74 1,357 openings

72.5% 195.0% 317.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 74.08% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (284.53% – 296.02%, 1,357 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=24h) | 44 | 288.60% ±28.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=7d) | 1,160 | 304.53% ±6.34 | +71.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf) | 1,357 | 290.28% ±5.74 | +73.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/golf?window=all) | 1,357 | 290.28% ±5.74 | +73.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,359 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-field-tested) | 1 in 9,483 | $2.02 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 9,197 | $1.73 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 9,060 | $1.63 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 8,906 | $1.54 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 8,792 | $1.49 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-field-tested) | 1 in 8,084 | $1.24 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,985 | $1.21 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,830 | $1.18 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 7,633 | $1.13 | 0.3% | 4 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 7,581 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) | 1 in 7,145 | $1.04 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 7,041 | $1.02 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-well-worn) | 1 in 6,816 | $0.99 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) | 1 in 5,130 | $0.78 | 0.3% | 7 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,978 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 6 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 4,810 | $0.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) | 1 in 3,399 | $0.61 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,419 | $0.52 | 0.5% | 9 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 1,600 | $0.44 | 0.6% | 5 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) | 1 in 1,388 | $0.41 | 0.7% | 14 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 1,272 | $0.40 | 0.7% | 19 | 1.1 | 17.78× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 1 in 1,010 | $0.37 | 0.8% | 11 | 1.3 | 8.18× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-field-tested) | 1 in 974 | $0.36 | 0.8% | 36 | 1.4 | 25.80× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 950 | $0.36 | 0.9% | 18 | 1.4 | 12.58× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Assault (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-field-tested) | 1 in 825 | $0.34 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 746 | $0.33 | 1.0% | 22 | 1.8 | 12.08× |
| [AUG \| Luxe Trim (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-luxe-trim-field-tested) | 1 in 689 | $0.32 | 1.0% | 16 | 2.0 | 8.11× |
| [Nova \| Wood Fired (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-field-tested) | 1 in 356 | $0.25 | 1.6% | 32 | 3.8 | 8.37× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $0.18 | 2.9% | 69 | 9.9 | 6.96× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $0.18 | 3.0% | 38 | 10.4 | 3.66× |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.09 | 8.7% | 502 | 57.2 | 8.77× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-inlay-field-tested) | 13.7% | $0.05 | 15.5% | 0 | 186.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) | 14.5% | $0.05 | 15.7% | 0 | 196.8 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) | 18.4% | $0.04 | 16.2% | 0 | 249.9 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Sedimentary (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-field-tested) | 23.3% | $0.02 | 11.6% | 0 | 316.1 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-field-tested) | 23.0% | $0.02 | 10.4% | 0 | 312.3 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=golf)

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.08 1.35x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.08 1.35x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.08 1.35x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-minimal-wear) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.18 2.98x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Assault (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.34 5.67x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.38 6.37x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $0.06 $0.24 4.08x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [MsLIBEZ1N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MsLIBEZ1N) $0.06 $0.08 1.35x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [MsLIBEZ1N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MsLIBEZ1N) $0.06 $0.08 1.35x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) [MsLIBEZ1N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MsLIBEZ1N) $0.06 $0.18 2.97x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.06 | 73.57% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.06 | 72.77% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.06 | 72.98% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.06 | 73.06% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.06 | 73.10% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.06 | 73.30% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.06 | 73.52% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.06 | 73.18% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.06 | 73.52% | 44 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.06 | 73.13% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.06 | 73.52% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.06 | 73.58% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.06 | 73.81% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.06 | 73.86% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.06 | 74.03% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.06 | 74.12% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 73.94% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 73.81% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.06 | 73.78% | 44 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.06 | 73.79% | 44 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 73.71% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 74.20% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.06 | 73.45% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.06 | 74.27% | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.06 | 74.38% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.06 | 74.47% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.06 | 74.21% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.06 | 73.90% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.06 | 74.46% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 08:09 UTC | $0.06 | 73.97% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.2% #8847ff 0.2% violet 0.4% classified 0.0% pink 0.0% Mythical 0.0% mil spec 0.4% #4b69ff 0.8% milspec 0.1% common 0.7% Rare 4.2% Common 13.7% industrial 14.5% consumer 18.4% #5e98d9 46.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.57 on average: an expected loss of $26.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
