---
title: "Граффити case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Граффити ($0.07) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 78.69% from 24 items with odds, observed 833.38% over 1,319 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Граффити](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Граффити

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=all)

Price · $0.07

Advertised RTP · 78.69% · EV $0.06 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 833.38% · 1,319 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85 openings · below min

7 days · 814.08% ±14.56 962 openings

30 days · 833.38% ±12.81 1,319 openings

since tracking started · 833.38% ±12.81 1,319 openings

77.5% 462.3% 847.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 79.19% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (820.58% – 846.19%, 1,319 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=24h) | 85 | 649.38% ±49.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=7d) | 962 | 814.08% ±14.6 | +98.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti) | 1,319 | 833.38% ±12.8 | +115.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/graffiti?window=all) | 1,319 | 833.38% ±12.8 | +115.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,321 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Drug War Veteran graffiti · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-drug-war-veteran) | 1 in 9,314 | $5.48 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) | 1 in 9,188 | $5.16 | 1.0% | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Tamara graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tamara) | 1 in 7,309 | $3.20 | 0.8% | 6 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| EZ graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ez) | 1 in 6,809 | $2.96 | 0.8% | 10 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) | 1 in 5,978 | $2.62 | 0.8% | 8 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Clutch King graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-clutch-king) | 1 in 5,811 | $2.56 | 0.8% | 6 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Rising Skull graffiti · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rising-skull) | 1 in 4,423 | $2.12 | 0.9% | 7 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Blood Boiler graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-blood-boiler) | 1 in 3,925 | $1.98 | 0.9% | 9 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Rekt graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rekt) | 1 in 3,855 | $1.96 | 0.9% | 8 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Zombie Hop graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-zombie-hop) | 1 in 2,419 | $1.57 | 1.2% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Longevity graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-longevity) | 1 in 1,945 | $1.43 | 1.3% | 15 | 0.7 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Cerberus graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cerberus) | 1 in 1,045 | $1.12 | 1.9% | 34 | 1.3 | 26.90× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) | 1 in 581 | $0.90 | 2.8% | 62 | 2.3 | 27.27× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Chabo graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chabo) | 1 in 461 | $0.83 | 3.3% | 71 | 2.9 | 24.76× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Wings graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-wings) | 1 in 434 | $0.81 | 3.4% | 52 | 3.0 | 17.10× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Unicorn graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-unicorn) | 1 in 415 | $0.80 | 3.5% | 49 | 3.2 | 15.40× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) | 1 in 91 | $0.47 | 9.3% | 198 | 14.5 | 13.65× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) | 1 in 41 | $0.35 | 15.4% | 275 | 32.0 | 8.60× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Ace graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ace) | 1 in 31 | $0.32 | 18.4% | 503 | 42.5 | 11.83× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Tombstone (Violent Violet) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone-violent-violet) | 28.9% | $0.03 | 15.2% | 0 | 381.7 | 0.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Eat It (SWAT Blue) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eat-it-swat-blue) | 18.0% | $0.02 | 5.2% | 0 | 237.4 | 0.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Speechless (Tracer Yellow) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-speechless-tracer-yellow) | 16.6% | $0.01 | 4.5% | 0 | 218.8 | 0.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Loser (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-brick-red) | 15.6% | $0.01 | 4.0% | 0 | 206.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| GGWP (Battle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-battle-green) | 13.0% | $0.01 | 2.6% | 0 | 172.1 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=graffiti)

[Sealed Graffiti | Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) [Nero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nero) $0.07 $0.47 6.67x 2026-11-11 15:46 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Ace graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ace) [генгадий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B3%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B9) $0.07 $0.32 4.50x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.35 5.00x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Ace graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ace) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.32 4.50x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Real MVP graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-real-mvp) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.90 12.86x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.35 5.00x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.35 5.00x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Ace graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ace) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.32 4.50x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) [✞A✞x✞e✞l✞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9C%9EA%E2%9C%9Ex%E2%9C%9Ee%E2%9C%9El%E2%9C%9E) $0.07 $0.35 5.00x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) [𝕯𝖆𝖗𝖐 𝕬𝖓𝖌](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%AF%F0%9D%96%86%F0%9D%96%97%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%8C) $0.07 $0.35 5.03x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.07 | 78.69% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.07 | 77.92% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.07 | 77.81% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.07 | 78.00% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.07 | 78.59% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.07 | 78.96% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.99% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.76% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.93% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.07 | 78.93% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.07 | 78.96% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.07 | 78.90% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.07 | 78.84% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.29% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.22% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.07 | 79.43% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.33% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.28% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.03% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.19% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.57% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 79.02% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.28% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.07 | 79.70% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.07 | 79.87% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.60% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.24% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.33% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.07 | 79.33% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.07 | 79.42% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed exotic 0.0% Exotic 0.0% remarkable 0.0% Mythical 0.3% Legendary 0.1% Remarkable 0.0% other 34.6% #4B69FF 2.6% Rare 1.6% Graffiti 3.2% #B0C3D9 28.9% Common 28.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.69 on average: an expected loss of $21.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt